Analyses / Whip Count Analysis / 119 · HJRES 130 Whip Count Analysis

119-HJRES-130 DC Insider Whip Count Analysis

119 · HJRES 130 Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to "Buffalo Field Office Record of Decision and Approved Resource Management Plan Amendment".

park Public Lands and Natural Resources
This joint resolution nullifies the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) on November 20, 2024, which amended the 2015 resource management plan (RMP) for the Buffalo Field Office in...

Bottom line: H.J.Res. 130 already cleared both chambers on near party lines (House 214–212 on Nov 18; Senate 51–43 on Nov 20) and was presented to the President on Dec 3. The White House issued a Statement of Administration Policy expressly supporting the measure and recommending a signature. With a ten‑day (Sundays excepted) window, signature by roughly Dec 15 is highly likely; even a veto would not be remotely overrideable given the recorded votes. Confidence: high. [1]Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives — House Clerk Roll Call 294…[2]U.S. Senate — Senate Roll Call Vote 623 — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 20, 2025)[3]Library of Congress — Congress.gov — H.J.Res.130 status (Presented to President…[4]The White House — OMB Statement of Administration Policy — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 17,…[5]Congress.gov — Constitution Annotated — Article I, Section 7 (Presentment)

Analyzed as
DC Insider
Published
05 Dec 2025
Updated
05 Dec 2025
Tags
whip-count · CRA · public-lands
Unvetted
01 · Section

Breakdown: where the votes are

What’s left procedurally is presidential action; the Hill votes are in. [3]Library of Congress — Congress.gov — H.J.Res.130 status (Presented to President…

  • House: Passed 214–212 on Nov 18 under a closed rule; GOP near‑unity (214 yea, 1 nay), Democrats unified no. [1]Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives — House Clerk Roll Call 294…[6]House Committee on Rules — House Rules Committee — Rule (H. Res. 879) for H.J.R…
  • Senate: Passed 51–43 on Nov 20; vote largely along party lines. [2]U.S. Senate — Senate Roll Call Vote 623 — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 20, 2025)[7]Web search · turn 1 #1
  • Chamber control/context: GOP holds the Senate majority (53–47) with Thune as Majority Leader; House under Speaker Johnson with a narrow GOP margin. That framing explains the scheduling and rule choices. [8]U.S. Senate — Senate Party Division — 119th Congress[9]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Lea…[10]Office of the Speaker — Speaker of the House — Mike Johnson (official site)
  • Substance at issue: CRA disapproval of BLM’s Buffalo Field Office ROD/RMPA finalized Nov 2024; GAO deemed the ROD a rule for CRA purposes; the enrolled text cites that GAO opinion. [11]Bureau of Land Management — BLM — Notice of Availability of Buffalo Field Offic…[12]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO Decision B-337503 — BLM Buffalo ROD…[13]Web search · turn 0 #6
Chamber Yea Nay Outcome Date
House 214 212 Passed Nov 18, 2025
Senate 51 43 Passed Nov 20, 2025
02 · Section

Key legislators (pivots and proof points)

At passage, leadership didn’t need cross‑party votes; the pivotal factor was holding GOP margins and moving quickly under CRA clocks.

  • Authors/champions: Rep. Harriet Hageman (House sponsor) and Sens. Cynthia Lummis/John Barrasso (Senate leads) anchored the Wyoming delegation push. [14]Web search · turn 13 #4[15]Web search · turn 10 #3
  • Recorded moderates holding with leadership: e.g., Don Bacon (NE‑02) voted Yea on final passage, underscoring minimal leakage among Biden‑district Republicans. [1]Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives — House Clerk Roll Call 294…
  • Likely Senate swing universe (ultimately unnecessary): the usual cross‑pressured Republicans (e.g., Collins) voted Yea; there were no evident Democratic YEAs in the 51–43 tally. [2]U.S. Senate — Senate Roll Call Vote 623 — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 20, 2025)
  • Committee power centers aligned: Senate ENR chaired by Mike Lee; House Natural Resources chaired by Bruce Westerman. That alignment eased referral/framing and built conference momentum. [16]Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — Senate ENR — Heinrich/Lee anno…[17]Wikipedia — House Natural Resources Committee — Chair/Ranking (119th)
03 · Section

Leadership influence and procedure

This moved because GOP leadership prioritized CRA energy/lands rollbacks and controlled the floor/structure.

  • Senate: Majority Leader John Thune set floor time; with CRA’s expedited procedures, the measure faced no filibuster and moved to a clean up‑or‑down vote. [9]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Lea…[18]Web search · turn 20 #0
  • House: Speaker Mike Johnson ran it under a closed rule (H. Res. 879), minimizing amendment risk and forcing a party‑line test. [6]House Committee on Rules — House Rules Committee — Rule (H. Res. 879) for H.J.R…[10]Office of the Speaker — Speaker of the House — Mike Johnson (official site)
  • Gatekeepers: ENR (Senate) and Natural Resources (House) jurisdictions were favorable; GAO’s opinion that the Buffalo ROD is a “rule” under CRA eliminated threshold objections. [16]Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — Senate ENR — Heinrich/Lee anno…[17]Wikipedia — House Natural Resources Committee — Chair/Ranking (119th)[12]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO Decision B-337503 — BLM Buffalo ROD…
  • Interest‑group environment: Wyoming delegation and industry‑aligned allies pushed hard; national conservation groups publicly opposed CRA use on land plans, increasing partisan sorting rather than persuasion. [15]Web search · turn 10 #3[19]Conservation Lands Foundation — Conservation Lands Foundation — Statement oppos…
04 · Section

Assessment: likelihood of enactment

We focus on whether it becomes law and with what risk.

House margin
2votes
Senate margin
8votes
Veto‑override needs
290House votes (2/3)
Veto‑override needs
67Senate votes (2/3)
  • Presidential stance: The Administration issued a Statement of Administration Policy explicitly supporting H.J.Res. 130 and recommending signature. Expect a bill signing. [4]The White House — OMB Statement of Administration Policy — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 17,…
  • Clock: Presented to the President on Dec 3; under Article I, Section 7, the ten‑day window (Sundays excepted) points to roughly Dec 15 for action. If unsigned and Congress remains in session, it becomes law by default. [3]Library of Congress — Congress.gov — H.J.Res.130 status (Presented to President…[5]Congress.gov — Constitution Annotated — Article I, Section 7 (Presentment)
  • Fallback math if expectations miss: The recorded votes are nowhere near two‑thirds in either chamber; an override would fail on current numbers. [1]Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives — House Clerk Roll Call 294…[2]U.S. Senate — Senate Roll Call Vote 623 — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 20, 2025)
  • Policy effect on enactment: CRA repeal would nullify the 2024 Buffalo ROD/RMPA and bar BLM from issuing a “substantially the same” replacement absent new statute. Expect immediate reversion to the prior plan baseline. [11]Bureau of Land Management — BLM — Notice of Availability of Buffalo Field Offic…[20]Web search · turn 20 #1
05 · Section

Sourcing (primary references)

Key official records and institutional statements underpinning this count.

  • House roll call (No. 294, Nov 18, 2025) and party breakdown. [1]Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives — House Clerk Roll Call 294…
  • Senate roll call (Vote No. 623, Nov 20, 2025). [2]U.S. Senate — Senate Roll Call Vote 623 — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 20, 2025)
  • Bill status/presentment (to President on Dec 3, 2025). [3]Library of Congress — Congress.gov — H.J.Res.130 status (Presented to President…
  • OMB Statement of Administration Policy supporting H.J.Res. 130 (Nov 17, 2025). [4]The White House — OMB Statement of Administration Policy — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 17,…
  • GAO decision (B‑337503) that the Buffalo ROD/RMPA is a CRA “rule”; Congressional Record insertion cited in the enrolled text. [12]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO Decision B-337503 — BLM Buffalo ROD…[21]Congress.gov — Congressional Record insertion of GAO opinion (pp. S6825–S6826)
  • BLM Buffalo ROD/RMPA issuance (Nov 2024). [11]Bureau of Land Management — BLM — Notice of Availability of Buffalo Field Offic…
  • Chamber control/leadership references (Senate party division; Thune remarks; Speaker site). [8]U.S. Senate — Senate Party Division — 119th Congress[9]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Lea…[10]Office of the Speaker — Speaker of the House — Mike Johnson (official site)
  • Committee context (Senate ENR chair; House Natural Resources chair). [16]Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — Senate ENR — Heinrich/Lee anno…[17]Wikipedia — House Natural Resources Committee — Chair/Ranking (119th)
  • Environmental NGO opposition framing to CRA land‑plan repeals. [19]Conservation Lands Foundation — Conservation Lands Foundation — Statement oppos…
Sources cited
  1. [1] House Clerk Roll Call 294 (H.J.Res.130) — Nov 18, 2025 Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
  2. [2] Senate Roll Call Vote 623 — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 20, 2025) U.S. Senate
  3. [3] Congress.gov — H.J.Res.130 status (Presented to President Dec 3, 2025) Library of Congress
  4. [4] OMB Statement of Administration Policy — H.J.Res.130 (Nov 17, 2025) The White House
  5. [5] Constitution Annotated — Article I, Section 7 (Presentment) Congress.gov
  6. [6] House Rules Committee — Rule (H. Res. 879) for H.J.Res.130 House Committee on Rules
  7. [7] Web search · turn 1 #1
  8. [8] Senate Party Division — 119th Congress U.S. Senate
  9. [9] Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Leader Office of Sen. John Thune
  10. [10] Speaker of the House — Mike Johnson (official site) Office of the Speaker
  11. [11] BLM — Notice of Availability of Buffalo Field Office ROD/RMPA (Nov 27, 2024) Bureau of Land Management
  12. [12] GAO Decision B-337503 — BLM Buffalo ROD/RMPA is a CRA rule U.S. Government Accountability Office
  13. [13] Web search · turn 0 #6
  14. [14] Web search · turn 13 #4
  15. [15] Web search · turn 10 #3
  16. [16] Senate ENR — Heinrich/Lee announce 119th subcommittee assignments (identifies Chair Mike Lee) Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources
  17. [17] House Natural Resources Committee — Chair/Ranking (119th) Wikipedia
  18. [18] Web search · turn 20 #0
  19. [19] Conservation Lands Foundation — Statement opposing CRA use on BLM plans Conservation Lands Foundation
  20. [20] Web search · turn 20 #1
  21. [21] Congressional Record insertion of GAO opinion (pp. S6825–S6826) Congress.gov

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