119-HJRES-133 DC Insider Whip Count Analysis

Breakdown: expected support by party/caucus

• House: Passed by unanimous consent on Nov. 18, 2025 (Gosar UC request; motion to reconsider laid on the table). This indicates leadership‑cleared, bipartisan support. [1]Congress.gov (GPO) — Congressional Record — House (Nov. 18, 2025): H.J.Res. 133…
• Bipartisan signal: Original House sponsor is Rep. Robert Aderholt (R‑AL) with Democratic cosponsors (Watson Coleman, Evans) and a Republican (Salazar). [2]Congress.gov — Congress.gov bill card: H.J.Res.133 (119th Congress) — latest ac…
• Senate GOP (majority): Expect broad support; Majority Leader John Thune runs the floor and routinely clears commemorative/noncontroversial items by UC. Republicans hold the majority in the 119th Congress. [3]U.S. Senate Republican Leader — Senate Republican Leader site: Thune delivers f…[6]South Dakota Public Broadcasting — SDPB: Thune officially Senate Majority Leade…
• Senate Democrats/Independents: No evident policy objection; 2019’s nearly identical measure (H.J.Res. 60) passed both chambers unanimously and became law, creating a strong precedent to acquiesce. [4]Congress.gov — Congress.gov actions: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — passed House/Senate b…[7]Congress.gov — Congress.gov law page: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — Public Law 116-28 (W…
• Institutional referral: In the Senate, National Mall/Monument matters implicate the National Park Service; primary committee of jurisdiction is Energy & Natural Resources (ENR), with National Parks Subcommittee. The measure could be referred there or cleared at the desk by UC. [8]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — U.S. Senate ENR — Nationa…
• Executive alignment: President Trump is in office; Interior Secretary Doug Burgum oversees NPS and has been confirmed. No executive‑branch headwinds identified. [5]Associated Press — AP: Inauguration Day live updates — Trump becomes the 47th p…[9]Associated Press — AP: Senate confirms Doug Burgum as Interior Secretary

Key legislators (swing/decisive)

Pivotal voices are the ones who control floor time and relevant committee gates; policy controversy here is minimal, so the decisive factor is clearance rather than persuasion.

• Sen. John Thune (R‑SD), Majority Leader — controls floor time and UC packages; if he includes H.J.Res. 133 in wrap‑up, passage is swift. [3]U.S. Senate Republican Leader — Senate Republican Leader site: Thune delivers f…
• Sen. Chuck Schumer (D‑NY), Minority Leader — leadership clearance on the Democratic side prevents UC surprises. He is serving as Senate Minority Leader this Congress. [10]Reuters Connect — Reuters Connect caption: Trump inauguration — attendees inclu…
• Sen. Mike Lee (R‑UT), ENR Chair — committee of jurisdiction; can signal he has no objection or quickly clear any referral. [11]Web search · turn 17 #2
• Sen. Steve Daines (R‑MT), Chair, National Parks Subcommittee — relevant subcommittee; supportive posture eases any jurisdictional questions. [8]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — U.S. Senate ENR — Nationa…
• House side already done: Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise let it go on UC; that usually means Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries did not object. Their roles matter only if a House amendment becomes necessary (unlikely). [12]Reuters — Reuters: Republicans retain House majority; Mike Johnson reelected Sp…[13]Web search · turn 15 #3

Leadership influence and procedure

• Path to enactment: With the House passed, the Senate can 1) take up and pass by unanimous consent at the desk; or 2) refer to ENR and later discharge/advance by UC. Either route is routine for commemorative resolutions. [8]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — U.S. Senate ENR — Nationa…
• Precedent: In 2019, H.J.Res. 60 (authorizing the Apollo 11 projection on the Washington Monument) passed the House by UC, the Senate by UC, and became Public Law 116‑28 — a near‑template for H.J.Res. 133. [4]Congress.gov — Congress.gov actions: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — passed House/Senate b…[7]Congress.gov — Congress.gov law page: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — Public Law 116-28 (W…
• Calendar/timing: The Senate’s 2025 schedule shows a long state work period starting Dec. 22; clearing this before that recess is straightforward via UC in late Nov./early Dec. [14]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate tentative 2025 legislative schedule
• Holds risk: Any single senator can object to UC (“hold”), forcing leadership to burn scarce floor time. For a noncontroversial, precedented display with House UC, the probability of a maintained hold is low. [15]Congressional Research Service (Congress.gov) — CRS: “Holds” in the Senate (R43…
• Operational precedent/acceptability: The 2019 Apollo 11 program projected onto the Washington Monument and was executed with NPS/Smithsonian involvement, demonstrating feasibility of the display contemplated here. [16]NASA — NASA: Apollo 11 Saturn V projected on the Washington Monument (2019)

Assessment

• Likelihood of Senate passage: High — expect UC passage. Drivers: GOP control under Thune, bipartisan House UC, and 2019 UC precedent for the identical activity. [3]U.S. Senate Republican Leader — Senate Republican Leader site: Thune delivers f…[1]Congress.gov (GPO) — Congressional Record — House (Nov. 18, 2025): H.J.Res. 133…[4]Congress.gov — Congress.gov actions: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — passed House/Senate b…
• Likelihood of presidential signature: High — President Trump is in office; Interior/NPS chain is aligned to implement quickly once enacted. [5]Associated Press — AP: Inauguration Day live updates — Trump becomes the 47th p…[9]Associated Press — AP: Senate confirms Doug Burgum as Interior Secretary
• Timing estimate: Clearance likely during a late‑November/early‑December wrap‑up before the Dec. 22 recess; comfortably in time for the Dec. 31–Jan. 5 window. [14]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate tentative 2025 legislative schedule

Sourcing (key documents)

• House passage details (UC; text; date): Congressional Record, Nov. 18, 2025 (pp. H4758–H4759). [1]Congress.gov (GPO) — Congressional Record — House (Nov. 18, 2025): H.J.Res. 133…
• Congress.gov bill card (status; sponsor/cosponsors; latest House action). [2]Congress.gov — Congress.gov bill card: H.J.Res.133 (119th Congress) — latest ac…
• Senate majority/leadership context (Thune as Majority Leader; GOP control). [3]U.S. Senate Republican Leader — Senate Republican Leader site: Thune delivers f…[6]South Dakota Public Broadcasting — SDPB: Thune officially Senate Majority Leade…
• Committee jurisdiction/gates (ENR; National Parks Subcommittee). [8]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources — U.S. Senate ENR — Nationa…
• Precedent: 2019 H.J.Res. 60 Senate/House UC and Public Law 116‑28 for Monument projection. [4]Congress.gov — Congress.gov actions: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — passed House/Senate b…[7]Congress.gov — Congress.gov law page: H.J.Res.60 (116th) — Public Law 116-28 (W…
• Operational precedent visuals: NASA documentation of the 2019 Washington Monument projection. [16]NASA — NASA: Apollo 11 Saturn V projected on the Washington Monument (2019)
• Executive branch context: Trump inauguration (2025) and Interior Secretary Burgum confirmation. [5]Associated Press — AP: Inauguration Day live updates — Trump becomes the 47th p…[9]Associated Press — AP: Senate confirms Doug Burgum as Interior Secretary
• House leadership context (Speaker Johnson; floor management cadence). [12]Reuters — Reuters: Republicans retain House majority; Mike Johnson reelected Sp…