Analyses / Whip Count Analysis / 119 · HR 5804 Whip Count Analysis

119-HR-5804 DC Insider Whip Count Analysis

119 · HR 5804 Providing Robust Organics and Diets for Urban Communities Everywhere Act

agriculture Agriculture and Food

Republicans control both chambers; Ag chairs Thompson and Boozman set the agenda. The PRODUCE Act’s urban-ag reauthorization polls well with Democrats and some swing-district Republicans, but GOP floor/appropriations discipline makes standalone passage unlikely. Best shot is as a non-controversial marker folded into a Farm Bill or ag appropriations deal. Standalone odds: low. In-package odds: moderate. [1]AP News — 119th Congress: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker[2]House Agriculture Committee (Republicans) — Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson | Hous…[3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…[4]Politico — ‘Chaos’ in federal government could stall farm bill, Klobuchar says

Analyzed as
DC Insider
Published
22 Oct 2025
Updated
22 Oct 2025
Tags
whip-count · agriculture · appropriations
Unvetted
01 · Section

Document 119-HR-5804 (PRODUCE Act) — Context

Reauthorizes USDA’s Office of Urban Agriculture and Innovative Production (OUAIP) through 2030 and doubles the authorization to $50M annually (FY2025–FY2030). OUAIP was created in the 2018 Farm Bill; current statute authorized $25M per year through FY2019–FY2023, and USDA has continued to award grants that have proven popular. [5]LII / Cornell Law School — 7 U.S. Code § 6923 - Office of Urban Agriculture and…[6]USDA — USDA Announces Grants and Technical Assistance Funding for Urban Agricul…

  • Chamber control/leadership today: House Speaker Mike Johnson (R); Senate GOP majority with John Thune as Majority Leader; Agriculture chairs are Rep. Glenn “GT” Thompson (House) and Sen. John Boozman (Senate). [1]AP News — 119th Congress: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker[7]Wikipedia — 119th United States Congress (leadership overview)[2]House Agriculture Committee (Republicans) — Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson | Hous…[3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…
  • USDA posture: agency has continued administering UAIP/composting grants; Secretary Brooke Rollins was confirmed in Feb. 2025. [6]USDA — USDA Announces Grants and Technical Assistance Funding for Urban Agricul…[8]USDA — USDA Invests Approximately $11.5 Million in Composting and Food Waste Re…[9]Reuters — U.S. Senate confirms Brooke Rollins to lead USDA
02 · Section

Breakdown — Expected Support and Opposition

Bottom line: Democrats are broadly supportive; Republican support depends on packaging and pay-fors. Leadership control of the floor and a tight GOP conference make a standalone path in the House difficult; Senate 60‑vote dynamics raise the bar. [1]AP News — 119th Congress: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker[10]New York Post — GOP leader John Thune vows to preserve filibuster as Republican…

Bloc House posture Senate posture
Democrats Near-unanimous support; PRODUCE/urban-ag reauthorization has been a recurring caucus priority. Prior version (118th) was led by Rep. Rob Menendez. Expect Dem leadership to back, especially members from urban districts. [11]Congress.gov — H.R. 6449 (118th): Providing Robust Organics and Diets for Urban… Supportive; Booker, Klobuchar, and other Dems have historically backed OUAIP; Dems previously pushed to restore OUAIP funding. [12]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman, Klobuc…[13]U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee (Democrats) — Stabenow Restores Funding for U…
Republicans Leadership prioritizes spending restraint and prefers to address ag authorizations inside a Farm Bill/approps package. Expect some moderates/swing-district Rs open to vote if packaged; hardliners likely oppose a standalone urban‑ag grant authorization. [14]House Appropriations Committee (Republicans) — House Appropriations Republicans… GOP majority sets agenda; Boozman has focused on moving a comprehensive Farm Bill, not piecemeal add‑ons. Absent a bipartisan farm package, floor time for a standalone urban‑ag bill is unlikely. Cloture remains a 60‑vote hurdle. [3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…[4]Politico — ‘Chaos’ in federal government could stall farm bill, Klobuchar says[10]New York Post — GOP leader John Thune vows to preserve filibuster as Republican…
  • Interest group temperature: sustainable ag/anti-food-waste coalitions publicly support maintaining/expanding OUAIP; industry CEA groups also highlight related USDA initiatives—signals of a friendly outside chorus with limited sway on GOP floor strategy. [15]Zero Food Waste Coalition — Zero Food Waste Coalition: Celebrates restored fund…[16]Web search · turn 10 #7
  • Program demand signal: USDA cites >$50M invested since 2020 and continued high application volume for UAIP grants—arguments sponsors will use with appropriators. [6]USDA — USDA Announces Grants and Technical Assistance Funding for Urban Agricul…[17]USDA NRCS — USDA Invests $5.2 Million in 17 Urban Agriculture and Innovative Pr…
03 · Section

Key Legislators — Pivotal Votes and Gatekeepers

The decisive actors are the Ag chairs and floor leaders; swing-district Republicans become relevant only if the bill gets floor time or is folded into a package.

  • House gatekeeper: Chair Glenn “GT” Thompson (R-PA), who controls whether Ag Committee marks up a standalone authorization versus folding it into the broader Farm Bill. His posture has emphasized comprehensive farm legislation and fiscal discipline. [2]House Agriculture Committee (Republicans) — Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson | Hous…[4]Politico — ‘Chaos’ in federal government could stall farm bill, Klobuchar says
  • Senate gatekeeper: Chair John Boozman (R-AR) sets the Senate Ag agenda; subcommittee leadership includes Hyde‑Smith (R) as chair over commodities/trade and Booker (D) as ranking—useful for any bipartisan accommodation. [3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…[12]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman, Klobuc…
  • Swing House Republican to watch for floor votes: Don Bacon (NE‑2) — Ag Committee member from a D+3, 98% urban Omaha district; pragmatic record and caucus profile make him a plausible “yes” if packaged. [18]Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives — Office of the Clerk — Rep. Don Bac…[19]Wikipedia — United States House Committee on Agriculture — Members, 119th Congr…[20]Wikipedia — Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district — profile (urban share, PVI)
  • Other potential House moderates: Brian Fitzpatrick (PA‑1), Problem Solvers Caucus co‑chair; often pivotal on low‑salience bipartisan items, especially when offsets are identified. [21]Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (official) — Fitzpatrick reelected to lead Problem Solve…
  • Bill sponsor bloc: Rep. Rob Menendez (D‑NJ) and initial Dem co‑sponsors are aligning with urban constituencies; early coverage was local/issue‑focused, not bipartisan at introduction. That limits automatic GOP buy‑in absent packaging. [22]InsiderNJ — Rep. Rob Menendez introduces the PRODUCE Act (local press)
04 · Section

Leadership Influence and Procedural Dynamics

Leadership and committee strategy will determine whether H.R. 5804 moves alone or rides a larger vehicle.

  • House floor control: Speaker Johnson/Leader Scalise manage a narrow, fractious majority; leadership has been selective about bringing non‑priority authorizations to the floor without GOP consensus or offsets. [1]AP News — 119th Congress: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker
  • Appropriations overlay: Even with authorization increased to $50M, actual outlays flow via the Ag/FDA bill. House GOP appropriators have signaled restraint; easier path is pairing reauthorization with a negotiated FY26–27 Ag appropriations section. [14]House Appropriations Committee (Republicans) — House Appropriations Republicans…
  • Senate hurdle: Majority Leader Thune has pledged to preserve the filibuster; a standalone bill would need bipartisan buy‑in or, more realistically, a slot in the Senate Farm Bill/omnibus process managed by Boozman/Klobuchar. [10]New York Post — GOP leader John Thune vows to preserve filibuster as Republican…[3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…
  • Executive branch: USDA continues to run OUAIP; with Secretary Rollins in place, the department can implement if Congress provides the authority/funding—but the department won’t drive Hill floor time. [9]Reuters — U.S. Senate confirms Brooke Rollins to lead USDA[6]USDA — USDA Announces Grants and Technical Assistance Funding for Urban Agricul…
05 · Section

Assessment — Likelihood of Passage

Estimate reflects current control of the agenda by GOP leadership, committee priorities, and cross‑party vote math.

Standalone passage (H.R. 5804) in House (next 3–4 months)
25%
Standalone passage in Senate (next 3–4 months)
15%
Inclusion in Farm Bill or Ag/FDA appropriations vehicle within the next major ag package
55%
Overall confidence
65%
  • Rationale: GOP chairs prefer comprehensive vehicles; Dems are unified; a meaningful but narrow set of suburban Rs can vote yes if the text rides a larger bill with acceptable offsets/side‑deals. [2]House Agriculture Committee (Republicans) — Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson | Hous…[3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…
  • Timing: Farm Bill/Ag appropriations calendar is the natural window; Politico reporting underscores the difficulty but also the necessity of a deal this Congress. [4]Politico — ‘Chaos’ in federal government could stall farm bill, Klobuchar says
  • Senate math: With a preserved 60‑vote threshold, bipartisan packaging is effectively required; a narrow, non‑controversial reauth is a classic “ride‑along.” [10]New York Post — GOP leader John Thune vows to preserve filibuster as Republican…
06 · Section

Sourcing Notes

Key claims are anchored in official committee/agency releases, Congress.gov, and major outlets.

  • Statute and prior authorization levels for OUAIP: 7 U.S.C. §6923. [5]LII / Cornell Law School — 7 U.S. Code § 6923 - Office of Urban Agriculture and…
  • USDA program activity and demand signals for UAIP/CFWR: January 8, 2025 UAIP notice; July 2024 UAIP awards; January 2024 CFWR funding. [6]USDA — USDA Announces Grants and Technical Assistance Funding for Urban Agricul…[17]USDA NRCS — USDA Invests $5.2 Million in 17 Urban Agriculture and Innovative Pr…[8]USDA — USDA Invests Approximately $11.5 Million in Composting and Food Waste Re…
  • Leadership/control: Speaker Johnson reelection; Senate GOP majority/Thune; Ag chairs Thompson and Boozman; Senate Ag subcommittee leaders. [1]AP News — 119th Congress: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker[7]Wikipedia — 119th United States Congress (leadership overview)[2]House Agriculture Committee (Republicans) — Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson | Hous…[3]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman to Serv…[12]U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Boozman, Klobuc…
  • House Ag appropriations posture: FY26 Ag/FDA press release (House Appropriations GOP). [14]House Appropriations Committee (Republicans) — House Appropriations Republicans…
  • Farm Bill outlook: Klobuchar/Boozman dynamic and timing challenges. [4]Politico — ‘Chaos’ in federal government could stall farm bill, Klobuchar says
  • Sponsor/scope and prior iteration (118th PRODUCE Act): Congress.gov and sponsor press. [11]Congress.gov — H.R. 6449 (118th): Providing Robust Organics and Diets for Urban…[22]InsiderNJ — Rep. Rob Menendez introduces the PRODUCE Act (local press)
  • Swing‑member context: Don Bacon district profile and Ag Committee role; Fitzpatrick Problem Solvers leadership. [20]Wikipedia — Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district — profile (urban share, PVI)[18]Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives — Office of the Clerk — Rep. Don Bac…[19]Wikipedia — United States House Committee on Agriculture — Members, 119th Congr…[21]Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (official) — Fitzpatrick reelected to lead Problem Solve…
  • Interest groups: Zero Food Waste Coalition statement on OUAIP; CEA trade coverage of USDA urban/innovative production emphasis. [15]Zero Food Waste Coalition — Zero Food Waste Coalition: Celebrates restored fund…
Sources cited
  1. [1] 119th Congress: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker AP News
  2. [2] Chairman Glenn “GT” Thompson | House Agriculture Committee (official) House Agriculture Committee (Republicans)
  3. [3] Boozman to Serve as Chairman of Senate Agriculture Committee in 119th Congress (official) U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry
  4. [4] ‘Chaos’ in federal government could stall farm bill, Klobuchar says Politico
  5. [5] 7 U.S. Code § 6923 - Office of Urban Agriculture and Innovative Production LII / Cornell Law School
  6. [6] USDA Announces Grants and Technical Assistance Funding for Urban Agriculture and Innovative Production (Jan. 8, 2025) USDA
  7. [7] 119th United States Congress (leadership overview) Wikipedia
  8. [8] USDA Invests Approximately $11.5 Million in Composting and Food Waste Reduction Projects (Jan. 25, 2024) USDA
  9. [9] U.S. Senate confirms Brooke Rollins to lead USDA Reuters
  10. [10] GOP leader John Thune vows to preserve filibuster as Republicans retake Senate New York Post
  11. [11] H.R. 6449 (118th): Providing Robust Organics and Diets for Urban Communities Everywhere Act Congress.gov
  12. [12] Boozman, Klobuchar Announce Subcommittee Leadership for 119th Congress (commodities/trade: Hyde‑Smith chair; Booker RM) U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry
  13. [13] Stabenow Restores Funding for Urban Agriculture in Senate-Passed Bill (Nov. 1, 2023) U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee (Democrats)
  14. [14] House Appropriations Republicans: Committee Approves FY26 Agriculture, Rural Development, FDA Appropriations House Appropriations Committee (Republicans)
  15. [15] Zero Food Waste Coalition: Celebrates restored funding for OUAIP (background) Zero Food Waste Coalition
  16. [16] Web search · turn 10 #7
  17. [17] USDA Invests $5.2 Million in 17 Urban Agriculture and Innovative Production Projects (July 1, 2024) USDA NRCS
  18. [18] Office of the Clerk — Rep. Don Bacon (NE‑02): Committee assignments Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives
  19. [19] United States House Committee on Agriculture — Members, 119th Congress Wikipedia
  20. [20] Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district — profile (urban share, PVI) Wikipedia
  21. [21] Fitzpatrick reelected to lead Problem Solvers Caucus (press release) Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (official)
  22. [22] Rep. Rob Menendez introduces the PRODUCE Act (local press) InsiderNJ

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