Analyses / Whip Count Analysis / 119 · HR 504 Whip Count Analysis

119-HR-504 DC Insider Whip Count Analysis

119 · HR 504 Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendments Act

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Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendments ActThis bill expands the Miccosukee Reserved Area to include a portion of Everglades National Park in Florida that is known as Osceola Camp. The Department of the...

H.R. 504 cleared the House on July 14, 2025 by voice vote under suspension and passed the Senate by unanimous consent on December 11, 2025; the enrolled bill was presented to the President on December 18, 2025. Given bipartisan Florida backing, no recorded opposition, and no published SAP, enactment via signature within the 10‑day window is highly likely. [1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…[2]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE…[3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…[4]The White House — Statements of Administration Policy index (OMB)

Published
19 Dec 2025
Updated
19 Dec 2025
Tags
whip count · H.R. 504 · Miccosukee Reserved Area
Unvetted
01 · Section

Breakdown: party and caucus positioning

Core takeaways on support in each chamber and relevant stakeholder alignment.

  • House: Passed on July 14 by voice vote under suspension of the rules (two‑thirds threshold), with floor management by Natural Resources Chair Bruce Westerman; no recorded opposition. [1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…
  • Senate: Passed without amendment by unanimous consent on December 11; no holds surfaced on the floor or in the Record entry. [2]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE…
  • Presentment: Enrolled bill presented to the President on December 18. [3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…
  • Sponsorship/coalition: House sponsor Rep. Carlos Giménez (R‑FL‑28); cosponsors included Reps. Díaz‑Balart (R‑FL), Salazar (R‑FL), and Soto (D‑FL), indicating bipartisan Florida delegation buy‑in. [3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…
  • Senate counterpart: Identical Senate bill S.673 was led by Sen. Rick Scott (R‑FL) with Florida’s other senator Ashley Moody (R) publicly promoting the effort—consistent with the chamber’s UC passage of H.R. 504. [5]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — S.673 — Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendment…[6]U.S. Senate — Sen. Ashley Moody press release on Miccosukee Reserved Area bill
  • Interest groups: The Miccosukee Tribe publicly backed the bill; NPS materials document the Osceola Camp flood‑mitigation need that the bill addresses—both factors cut against organized opposition. [7]U.S. House of Representatives — Rep. Carlos Giménez press release — House passa…[8]National Park Service — NPS — Osceola Camp Cure Plan Environmental Assessment p…
02 · Section

Key legislators and pivotal actors

Who can still move the ball and why.

  • President Donald J. Trump (final action): Bill was presented December 18; no Statement of Administration Policy has been published on H.R. 504, a positive indicator for signature on a non‑controversial, state‑delegation bill. [3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…[4]The White House — Statements of Administration Policy index (OMB)
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R‑SD): Controls floor timing; UC passage on Dec 11 reflects a cleared hotline with no member objecting. [9]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lea…[2]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE…
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R‑LA): Leadership scheduled H.R. 504 on the suspension calendar; the chair of jurisdiction carried it—standard treatment for consensus items. [10]Office of the Speaker — Speaker of the House Mike Johnson — official site[1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…
  • House Natural Resources Chair Bruce Westerman (R‑AR): Reported the bill and managed it on the floor; committee report records a unanimous committee action. [11]U.S. Government Publishing Office — House Report 119-189 — Miccosukee Reserved…[1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…
  • Florida Senate/House leads (Rick Scott/Ashley Moody; Carlos Giménez): Home‑state alignment with the Miccosukee Tribe minimized intraparty friction and smoothed Senate clearance. [5]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — S.673 — Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendment…[6]U.S. Senate — Sen. Ashley Moody press release on Miccosukee Reserved Area bill[7]U.S. House of Representatives — Rep. Carlos Giménez press release — House passa…
03 · Section

Leadership influence and procedural dynamics

Where leverage sat and how it was used.

  • Institutional control: Republicans hold narrow House control and the Senate majority this Congress; both leaders could prioritize or block items, but this one moved as a low‑friction package. [12]Congress.gov (CRS) — CRS R40478 — House Committee Party Ratios: 98th–119th Cong…[9]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lea…
  • House procedure: Use of the suspension calendar (voice vote) indicates leadership confidence of 2/3 support; committee of prime jurisdiction was Natural Resources, with Transportation & Infrastructure discharged—limiting amendment exposure. [1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…[3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…
  • Senate procedure: Unanimous consent passage avoided cloture; the brief Record entry shows no floor controversy or amendments. [2]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE…
  • Record and committee trail: House Report 119‑189 and the formal actions (hearing 2/5, markup 6/25, report/discharge 7/10) show a clean, bipartisan paper trail with no substantive policy disputes. [11]U.S. Government Publishing Office — House Report 119-189 — Miccosukee Reserved…[3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…
04 · Section

Assessment: likelihood of enactment

Bottom line from a whip perspective.

House passage
2025Jul 14 (voice vote)
Senate passage
2025Dec 11 (UC)
Presented to President
2025Dec 18
  • Probability of presidential signature: High. Rationale—no recorded opposition in either chamber; bipartisan Florida delegation support; clear constituent/agency rationale (flood protection within Everglades NP); and absence of a negative SAP. [1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…[2]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE…[7]U.S. House of Representatives — Rep. Carlos Giménez press release — House passa…[8]National Park Service — NPS — Osceola Camp Cure Plan Environmental Assessment p…[4]The White House — Statements of Administration Policy index (OMB)
  • Timing: Constitutional 10‑day (excluding Sundays) decision window puts an expected action date around December 30, 2025; absent an inter‑session adjournment that prevents return, a pocket veto is unlikely given routine pro‑forma practice. [3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…[13]Web search · turn 12 #6
05 · Section

Sourcing (primary citations)

Key official sources underpinning this whip estimate.

  • Congress.gov – H.R. 504 All Info (actions, presentment). [3]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl.…
  • Congressional Record – House floor (H3228) and Senate UC entry (S8693). [1]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 co…[2]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE…
  • GPO/House Report 119‑189 (committee report). [11]U.S. Government Publishing Office — House Report 119-189 — Miccosukee Reserved…
  • Senate leadership status – Thune Majority Leader (official site). [9]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lea…
  • Speaker’s office – current Speaker. [10]Office of the Speaker — Speaker of the House Mike Johnson — official site
  • CRS House committee/majority ratios (context for control). [12]Congress.gov (CRS) — CRS R40478 — House Committee Party Ratios: 98th–119th Cong…
  • Senate companion bill S.673 (sponsorship/context). [5]Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — S.673 — Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendment…
  • Florida delegation/press (Ashley Moody release; House sponsor press; Tribe support). [6]U.S. Senate — Sen. Ashley Moody press release on Miccosukee Reserved Area bill[7]U.S. House of Representatives — Rep. Carlos Giménez press release — House passa…
  • NPS Osceola Camp EA (agency need/justification). [8]National Park Service — NPS — Osceola Camp Cure Plan Environmental Assessment p…
  • OMB SAP index (no SAP on H.R. 504 as of Dec 19). [4]The White House — Statements of Administration Policy index (OMB)
Sources cited
  1. [1] Congressional Record (House) — H.R. 504 considered under suspension; text H3228-29 Congress.gov (Library of Congress)
  2. [2] Congressional Record (Senate) — MICCOSUKEE RESERVED AREA AMENDMENTS ACT; p. S8693 (Dec 11, 2025) Congress.gov (Library of Congress)
  3. [3] H.R. 504 — All Information (actions incl. presented to President) Congress.gov (Library of Congress)
  4. [4] Statements of Administration Policy index (OMB) The White House
  5. [5] S.673 — Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendments Act (Senate companion) Congress.gov (Library of Congress)
  6. [6] Sen. Ashley Moody press release on Miccosukee Reserved Area bill U.S. Senate
  7. [7] Rep. Carlos Giménez press release — House passage of H.R. 504 U.S. House of Representatives
  8. [8] NPS — Osceola Camp Cure Plan Environmental Assessment page National Park Service
  9. [9] Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Leader (press release) Office of Sen. John Thune
  10. [10] Speaker of the House Mike Johnson — official site Office of the Speaker
  11. [11] House Report 119-189 — Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendments Act U.S. Government Publishing Office
  12. [12] CRS R40478 — House Committee Party Ratios: 98th–119th Congresses Congress.gov (CRS)
  13. [13] Web search · turn 12 #6

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