Analyses / Impact Analysis / 119 · HR 5878 Impact Analysis

119-HR-5878 Investigative Journalist Impact Analysis

119 · HR 5878 HOME Reform Act of 2025

Bottom-line assessment
Bottom‑line judgment (analytical, not advocacy).
ELI rental housing shortage (national)
7.1million homes
HCV national lease‑up success rate (2022)
57percent
DOT grantees citing BABA as a challenge
39percent
Illustrative per‑unit cost reduction from state utility‑connection grants
8000USD
Published
04 Nov 2025
Updated
04 Nov 2025
Tags
impact-analysis · housing · NEPA
Unvetted
01 · Section

Summary

  • Expands eligibility from “low‑income” limits in current HOME rules (generally ≤80% of area median income) to ≤100% AMI and raises allowable homeownership value limits (95% → 110% of area median purchase price). This widens access but could redirect scarce funds away from extremely low‑income renters, who face the deepest shortages. [6]HUD USER — HOME Rent Limits | HUD USER[7]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 92.254 - Qualification as affordable hou…[8]Justia (U.S. Code) — 42 U.S.C. § 12785 - REACH: asset recycling information dis…[3]National Low Income Housing Coalition — NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage…
  • Authorizes HOME funds for water/sewer, sidewalks, roads, and utility connections in nonentitlement areas adjacent to HOME- or LIHTC-assisted housing; evidence shows connection costs can be a binding barrier, and targeted grants have lowered per‑unit costs. [1]Washington State Department of Commerce — Commerce awards $17.5 million in infr…
  • Counts units occupied by Housing Choice Voucher (HCV) tenants as HOME‑affordable if voucher rules are met; vouchers reduce hardship but face landlord denial and falling lease‑up success rates, so counting them may not expand supply without complementary measures. [9]Center on Budget and Policy Priorities — Research Shows Housing Vouchers Reduce…[10]Urban Institute — Landlords limit voucher holders’ choice in where they can live[11]HUD USER — New Research on Estimating Success Rates for the Housing Choice Vouc…
  • Creates statutory NEPA exemptions for infill/small projects and bars duplicative reviews; while infill can cut VMT/GHGs, bypassing standard Part 58 “related laws” checks can miss contamination, floodplain, endangered species, and historic‑resource risks common on small urban sites. [12]U.S. EPA — Our Built and Natural Environments (2nd ed.)[5]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 58.5 - Related Federal laws and authorit…
  • Relaxes/clarifies labor and domestic‑content overlays (Section 3 small‑project carve‑out; BABA restricted to specified infrastructure), which may reduce costs and timelines but also diminish local hiring benefits; agencies and grantees report BABA as a nontrivial compliance hurdle. [4]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 75.3 - Applicability (HUD Section 3)[13]U.S. EPA — Build America, Buy America (BABA) Resources[14]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO-25-107166 – IIJA: DOT Should Better…
  • Shifts CHDO set‑aside recapture to reuse by the same PJ and removes the expiration of the right to draw, improving flexibility but weakening long‑standing timeliness/accountability levers. [15]Legal Information Institute — 42 U.S.C. § 12771 - Set‑aside for community housi…[16]U.S. Government Accountability Office — HUD Home Program Grants—Statutory Commi…[17]HUD Office of Inspector General — HUD Lacked Adequate Controls to Ensure the Ti…
02 · Section

Economic Effects

How the bill could influence costs, investment, employment, and markets.

ELI rental housing shortage (national)
7.1million homes
HCV national lease‑up success rate (2022)
57percent
DOT grantees citing BABA as a challenge
39percent
Illustrative per‑unit cost reduction from state utility‑connection grants
8000USD
  • Infrastructure enablement: Allowing HOME funds for water/sewer/road/utility connections in nonentitlement areas can unlock stalled projects. Comparable state grants lowered effective costs by roughly $8,000 per unit while supporting ~2,100 units—suggesting similar HOME uses could improve feasibility for small‑ and mid‑scale projects. [1]Washington State Department of Commerce — Commerce awards $17.5 million in infr…
  • Eligibility shift to ≤100% AMI: Current HOME rental and homeownership limits focus on ≤80% AMI; moving to 100% AMI broadens the pool but risks diluting resources away from extremely low‑income renters, where the shortage is most severe (only 35 affordable homes per 100 ELI renters). Market‑wide evidence indicates unmet need is concentrated at the bottom of the income distribution. [6]HUD USER — HOME Rent Limits | HUD USER[7]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 92.254 - Qualification as affordable hou…[3]National Low Income Housing Coalition — NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage…
  • Voucher counting rule: Treating HCV‑occupied units as HOME‑affordable may raise reported “affordable” totals without increasing bricks‑and‑mortar supply. Vouchers reduce hardship and improve outcomes but lease‑up rates have declined (≈58% in 2021–2022) and landlord refusal remains common, limiting real gains absent complementary actions (SOI protections, landlord engagement). [9]Center on Budget and Policy Priorities — Research Shows Housing Vouchers Reduce…[11]HUD USER — New Research on Estimating Success Rates for the Housing Choice Vouc…[10]Urban Institute — Landlords limit voucher holders’ choice in where they can live
  • Domestic‑content scope (BABA) narrowed: Limiting BABA to specified infrastructure may reduce procurement delays/costs noted by grantees; a GAO survey found ~39% of selected DOT awardees cited BABA or similar domestic preferences as moderately/very challenging to execute agreements. Net budget effects depend on waiver practices and local supply chains. [14]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO-25-107166 – IIJA: DOT Should Better…[13]U.S. EPA — Build America, Buy America (BABA) Resources
  • Section 3 carve‑out: Exempting small HOME projects from Section 3 (beyond existing $200,000 thresholds) can trim compliance costs but also reduces expected local hiring/training benefits on small deals that are common in infill contexts. [4]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 75.3 - Applicability (HUD Section 3)
  • Per‑unit subsidy/“layering” guardrails: Even with changes to statutory references (e.g., removing an older sentence in 212(e)(1)), HUD’s current underwriting and subsidy‑layering rules cap HOME per‑unit investment and require necessity/feasibility tests, limiting over‑subsidization risk. [18]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 92.250 - Maximum per‑unit subsidy amount…
  • Timeliness/accountability: Eliminating the expiration of the right to draw increases flexibility for long‑gestation projects, but GAO and HUD OIG have previously flagged stale balances and commitment slippage—risks that grow when hard deadlines recede. [16]U.S. Government Accountability Office — HUD Home Program Grants—Statutory Commi…[17]HUD Office of Inspector General — HUD Lacked Adequate Controls to Ensure the Ti…
03 · Section

Social Effects

Distributional consequences for communities and vulnerable groups.

  • Targeting trade‑off: The largest unmet need is among extremely low‑income renters; expanding to ≤100% AMI could shift assistance toward moderate‑income households unless PJs maintain deep‑targeting policies (e.g., set‑asides, project underwriting). [3]National Low Income Housing Coalition — NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage…
  • Shared‑equity homeownership: Newly recognized pathways (CLTs, limited‑equity co‑ops, etc.) are associated with durable affordability, lower mobility, and net wealth gains for buyers despite resale price limits—stabilizing households while recycling subsidy over time. [2]Lincoln Institute of Land Policy — Tracking Growth and Evaluating Performance o…
  • Voucher recognition: Counting HCV‑tenanted units as HOME‑affordable could increase landlord interest, but acceptance barriers persist and success rates have fallen; pairing the policy with active enforcement of source‑of‑income protections and landlord outreach is critical. [19]HUD — Source of Income Protections for Housing Choice Voucher Holders[10]Urban Institute — Landlords limit voucher holders’ choice in where they can live[11]HUD USER — New Research on Estimating Success Rates for the Housing Choice Vouc…
  • Section 3 impacts: Raising or redefining small‑project thresholds curtails job/training channels for low‑income residents that Section 3 is designed to prioritize; HUD’s 2020 rule centers on labor‑hours benchmarks above a $200,000 project threshold, and commenters warned about “gaming” via project splitting—risks that grow if unit‑based exemptions expand. [4]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 75.3 - Applicability (HUD Section 3)[20]Web search · turn 5 #4
04 · Section

Environmental Effects

Balance of sustainability gains from infill against review shortcuts and site risks.

  • Infill benefits: Concentrating new housing in already‑served areas generally lowers vehicle miles traveled and associated emissions; smart‑growth evidence finds compact, transit‑oriented patterns reduce driving and pollution relative to sprawl. [12]U.S. EPA — Our Built and Natural Environments (2nd ed.)
  • Statutory NEPA exemptions: Carving out infill acquisition/rehab and ≤15‑unit new construction can speed delivery, but it also bypasses HUD Part 58 “related laws and authorities” checks (e.g., floodplains/wetlands, endangered species, historic preservation, contamination, air conformity) that normally apply even to categorically excluded actions. [5]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 58.5 - Related Federal laws and authorit…
  • Brownfield/infill hazards: Small urban sites frequently present residual contamination and vapor‑intrusion risks; EPA guidance underscores the need for screening and, where indicated, mitigation systems (e.g., sub‑slab depressurization). Exemptions that foreclose review increase the chance of undetected exposure. [21]U.S. EPA — Environmental Contamination at Brownfield Sites[22]U.S. EPA — Vapor Intrusion Screening Level Calculator
  • Duplicative‑review relief: Aligns with recent NEPA reforms allowing cross‑agency CE adoption and review adoption to reduce redundancy; implementation details matter amid evolving litigation over CEQ’s rulemaking authority. [23]Council on Environmental Quality (via DOE NEPAnet) — NEPA – Fiscal Responsibili…[24]Reuters — White House environmental office lacks rulemaking authority, judge ru…
05 · Section

Temporal Analysis

Short‑term versus long‑term consequences.

  • 0–2 years: Quick wins most likely where projects are “shovel‑ready” but stalled by utility connection costs; limiting BABA to delineated infrastructure may reduce procurement friction on those scopes. Voucher counting changes metrics immediately but may not change unit availability without landlord‑side measures. [1]Washington State Department of Commerce — Commerce awards $17.5 million in infr…[13]U.S. EPA — Build America, Buy America (BABA) Resources
  • 3–10 years: Shared‑equity pathways can preserve affordability over multiple resales; infrastructure eligibility could support steady infill production if paired with safeguarding reviews for environmental risks. If PJs shift materially toward ≤100% AMI, distributional drift away from ELI renters could widen existing gaps. [2]Lincoln Institute of Land Policy — Tracking Growth and Evaluating Performance o…[3]National Low Income Housing Coalition — NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage…
06 · Section

Unintended Consequences

Risks or secondary effects documented in credible sources or foreseeable from implementation.

  • Double‑counting risk: Counting HCV‑occupied units as HOME‑affordable improves reported totals but does not add supply; with success rates trending down and landlord refusals persistent, the provision could mask stagnation without complementary enforcement/incentives. [11]HUD USER — New Research on Estimating Success Rates for the Housing Choice Vouc…[10]Urban Institute — Landlords limit voucher holders’ choice in where they can live
  • Section 3 erosion: A broader small‑project exemption could reduce local job/training outcomes and invite project‑splitting behavior previously flagged in rulemaking comments. [20]Web search · turn 5 #4
  • Weaker timeliness discipline: Removing the expiration of the right to draw may reintroduce the stale‑balance problems cited by GAO/OIG unless HUD imposes strong performance management. [16]U.S. Government Accountability Office — HUD Home Program Grants—Statutory Commi…[17]HUD Office of Inspector General — HUD Lacked Adequate Controls to Ensure the Ti…
  • CHDO capacity impacts: Redirecting uninvested CHDO set‑asides back to the PJ (rather than to CHDOs elsewhere) increases local flexibility but may diminish incentives to cultivate nonprofit developers in weaker markets. Baseline CHDO requirements remain, but the recapture signal changes. [15]Legal Information Institute — 42 U.S.C. § 12771 - Set‑aside for community housi…
  • Procurement trade‑offs: Narrowing BABA coverage can speed delivery where domestic‑content compliance proved burdensome, but may reduce domestic manufacturing demand tied to HOME‑enabled infrastructure. Agencies report BABA compliance as a material challenge in some programs. [14]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO-25-107166 – IIJA: DOT Should Better…
07 · Section

Assessment

Bottom‑line judgment (analytical, not advocacy).

Overall stance: neutral/mixed. The bill would likely be favorable for enabling production in places where modest infrastructure is the binding constraint and for locking in long‑term affordability via shared‑equity models. However, shifting eligibility to ≤100% AMI, easing Section 3 on small projects, and creating statutory NEPA exemptions introduce real distributional and risk‑management concerns—especially for extremely low‑income renters and for environmental due diligence on small urban sites. Outcomes will hinge on HUD guidance and local implementation (e.g., maintaining deep‑targeting, adopting due‑diligence protocols even when NEPA is exempt, and enforcing SOI protections to make the voucher counting provision meaningful). [1]Washington State Department of Commerce — Commerce awards $17.5 million in infr…[2]Lincoln Institute of Land Policy — Tracking Growth and Evaluating Performance o…[3]National Low Income Housing Coalition — NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage…[4]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 75.3 - Applicability (HUD Section 3)[5]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 58.5 - Related Federal laws and authorit…

08 · Section

Sourcing (selected)

Key statutory, regulatory, and research sources used in this analysis.

  • HOME income/rent and homeownership limits, current rules and datasets. [6]HUD USER — HOME Rent Limits | HUD USER[7]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 92.254 - Qualification as affordable hou…
  • Voucher outcomes and landlord acceptance. [11]HUD USER — New Research on Estimating Success Rates for the Housing Choice Vouc…[10]Urban Institute — Landlords limit voucher holders’ choice in where they can live[19]HUD — Source of Income Protections for Housing Choice Voucher Holders
  • ELI housing shortage metrics. [3]National Low Income Housing Coalition — NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage…
  • Infill/compact development environmental evidence. [12]U.S. EPA — Our Built and Natural Environments (2nd ed.)
  • HUD Part 58 related‑laws checklist (environmental authorities). [5]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 58.5 - Related Federal laws and authorit…
  • Brownfields contamination and vapor‑intrusion guidance. [21]U.S. EPA — Environmental Contamination at Brownfield Sites[22]U.S. EPA — Vapor Intrusion Screening Level Calculator
  • BABA guidance and implementation challenges. [13]U.S. EPA — Build America, Buy America (BABA) Resources[14]U.S. Government Accountability Office — GAO-25-107166 – IIJA: DOT Should Better…
  • Section 3 thresholds and gaming concerns. [4]Legal Information Institute — 24 CFR § 75.3 - Applicability (HUD Section 3)[20]Web search · turn 5 #4
  • CHDO set‑aside statute and recapture baseline. [15]Legal Information Institute — 42 U.S.C. § 12771 - Set‑aside for community housi…
  • Timeliness/recapture oversight history. [16]U.S. Government Accountability Office — HUD Home Program Grants—Statutory Commi…[17]HUD Office of Inspector General — HUD Lacked Adequate Controls to Ensure the Ti…
  • State example on connection‑cost grants (infrastructure enablement). [1]Washington State Department of Commerce — Commerce awards $17.5 million in infr…
Sources cited
  1. [1] Commerce awards $17.5 million in infrastructure funding to boost affordable housing development in 11 counties – Washington State Department of Commerce Washington State Department of Commerce
  2. [2] Tracking Growth and Evaluating Performance of Shared Equity Homeownership Programs During Housing Market Fluctuations Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
  3. [3] NLIHC Releases The Gap 2025: A Shortage of Affordable Homes National Low Income Housing Coalition
  4. [4] 24 CFR § 75.3 - Applicability (HUD Section 3) Legal Information Institute
  5. [5] 24 CFR § 58.5 - Related Federal laws and authorities Legal Information Institute
  6. [6] HOME Rent Limits | HUD USER HUD USER
  7. [7] 24 CFR § 92.254 - Qualification as affordable housing: Homeownership Legal Information Institute
  8. [8] 42 U.S.C. § 12785 - REACH: asset recycling information dissemination Justia (U.S. Code)
  9. [9] Research Shows Housing Vouchers Reduce Hardship and Provide Platform for Long-Term Gains Among Children Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
  10. [10] Landlords limit voucher holders’ choice in where they can live Urban Institute
  11. [11] New Research on Estimating Success Rates for the Housing Choice Voucher Program (2018–2022) HUD USER
  12. [12] Our Built and Natural Environments (2nd ed.) U.S. EPA
  13. [13] Build America, Buy America (BABA) Resources U.S. EPA
  14. [14] GAO-25-107166 – IIJA: DOT Should Better Communicate Funding Status and Assess Risks (table of challenges incl. BABA) U.S. Government Accountability Office
  15. [15] 42 U.S.C. § 12771 - Set‑aside for community housing development organizations Legal Information Institute
  16. [16] HUD Home Program Grants—Statutory Commitment Deadline (B‑322077) U.S. Government Accountability Office
  17. [17] HUD Lacked Adequate Controls to Ensure the Timely Commitment and Expenditure of HOME Funds HUD Office of Inspector General
  18. [18] 24 CFR § 92.250 - Maximum per‑unit subsidy amount, underwriting, and subsidy layering Legal Information Institute
  19. [19] Source of Income Protections for Housing Choice Voucher Holders HUD
  20. [20] Web search · turn 5 #4
  21. [21] Environmental Contamination at Brownfield Sites U.S. EPA
  22. [22] Vapor Intrusion Screening Level Calculator U.S. EPA
  23. [23] NEPA – Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Section 109: CE Adoption) Council on Environmental Quality (via DOE NEPAnet)
  24. [24] White House environmental office lacks rulemaking authority, judge rules Reuters

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