119-S-1376 DC Insider Procedural Viability Check
119 · S 1376 Benton MacKaye National Scenic Trail Feasibility Study Act of 2025
Low-cost, bipartisan Senate study bill with a live House companion; cleared Senate Agriculture on 10/21/2025 and positioned for unanimous-consent floor passage and House suspension. Strong prospects as a stand-alone or as a rider to a year-end lands/forests package. Composite viability: 4/5. [1]Congress.gov — All Actions — S.1376 (119th)[2]Congress.gov — All Information — S.1376 (119th)[3]Congress.gov — Text — H.R. 2768 (119th): House companion bill text
S.1376 Snapshot and Bottom Line
- Bill: S.1376 — Benton MacKaye National Scenic Trail Feasibility Study Act of 2025. Sponsor: Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC); Senate cosponsors include Sens. Warnock (D-GA), Budd (R-NC), and Ossoff (D-GA). House companion: H.R. 2768 (Fleischmann; bipartisan originals). [4]Congress.gov — Text — S.1376 (119th): Benton MacKaye National Scenic Trail Feas…[2]Congress.gov — All Information — S.1376 (119th)[3]Congress.gov — Text — H.R. 2768 (119th): House companion bill text
- Status: Ordered reported favorably by Senate Agriculture on 10/21/2025; awaiting floor action. House bill referred to Natural Resources. [1]Congress.gov — All Actions — S.1376 (119th)[5]Congress.gov — H.R. 2768 overview (119th)
- Power context: Republicans control both chambers; Sen. John Thune is Majority Leader; Rep. Mike Johnson is Speaker; Sen. John Boozman chairs Senate Agriculture; Rep. Bruce Westerman chairs House Natural Resources. [6]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Lea…[7]Associated Press — 119th Congress opens: Mike Johnson reelected Speaker[8]Senate Agriculture Committee — Boozman to serve as Chairman, Senate Agriculture…[9]House Natural Resources Committee — Chairman Bruce Westerman — House Natural Re…
- Procedural path I’d pursue: Senate hotline for unanimous-consent passage; then House suspension of the rules; or fold into a small lands/forestry package riding a must-pass vehicle if floor time tightens. [10]Congress.gov — How Our Laws Are Made — Senate reliance on unanimous consent[11]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Suspension of the Rules in the House (98-…[12]National Parks Conservation Association — NPCA: Public Lands Package in the FY2…
Procedural Viability Check (Rubric)
Composite viability score: 4/5.
| Factor | Assessment | Rationale / Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Chamber of Origin | ↑ | Originated in the Senate with bipartisan buy-in; House companion introduced the same day, signaling bicameral interest. [2]Congress.gov — All Information — S.1376 (119th)[3]Congress.gov — Text — H.R. 2768 (119th): House companion bill text |
| Vehicle Type | ↔ | Stand-alone authorizing study (not must-pass) but commonly moved via UC/suspension or bundled into year-end public lands packages. [10]Congress.gov — How Our Laws Are Made — Senate reliance on unanimous consent[11]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Suspension of the Rules in the House (98-…[12]National Parks Conservation Association — NPCA: Public Lands Package in the FY2… |
| Senate Threshold | ↑ | Noncontroversial studies typically pass by unanimous consent; if an objection arises, cloture would require 60, but UC is the expected path. [10]Congress.gov — How Our Laws Are Made — Senate reliance on unanimous consent[13]Web search · turn 8 #5 |
| Committee Path | ↑ | Cleared Senate Agriculture 10/21/2025 under Chair Boozman; House referral to Natural Resources under Chair Westerman—both historically productive for low-cost lands/forestry items. [1]Congress.gov — All Actions — S.1376 (119th)[8]Senate Agriculture Committee — Boozman to serve as Chairman, Senate Agriculture…[9]House Natural Resources Committee — Chairman Bruce Westerman — House Natural Re… |
| Must-Pass Potential | ↑ | Viable as a rider to a year-end lands/forests package (NDAA and other vehicles have carried ~70 public-lands bills in prior years). [12]National Parks Conservation Association — NPCA: Public Lands Package in the FY2…[14]The Wildlife Society — The Wildlife Society: Congress approves 2014 lands packa… |
| Budget Scorekeeping | ↑ | CBO typically scores trail feasibility studies as modest costs subject to appropriation (e.g., Buckeye Trail study < $500k). No PAYGO friction foreseen. [15]Congress.gov (CBO via committee report) — CBO estimate (H.R. 6142, Buckeye Nati… |
| Calendar Math | ↔ | Late-October floor time is constrained by funding fights and nominations; nonetheless, noncontroversial items can clear in wrap-up blocks. [16]U.S. Senate Periodical Press Gallery — Senate Periodical Press Gallery: Oct. 22…[17]govinfo (GPO) — Senate Calendar of Business — Oct. 27, 2025 (cover/special orde… |
Power, Gatekeepers, and Leverage
- Floor control: Thune’s office decides when to clear UC items; the bill is low-friction and regional (GA–NC–TN), a good candidate for hotline clearance once the calendar opens up. [6]Office of Sen. John Thune — Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Lea…
- Senate Agriculture: Boozman’s chairmanship and the committee’s forestry jurisdiction (USDA Forest Service) align with the bill’s scope—no internal turf fight expected on the Senate side. [8]Senate Agriculture Committee — Boozman to serve as Chairman, Senate Agriculture…[18]Wikipedia — Senate Agriculture Committee (jurisdiction; oversight incl. USFS)
- House pathway: Westerman can move the companion under suspension without a formal committee report if leadership wants speed. [9]House Natural Resources Committee — Chairman Bruce Westerman — House Natural Re…[11]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Suspension of the Rules in the House (98-…
- Hold risk: A single senator can block UC; if that surfaces (e.g., from public-lands skeptics), fallback is to tack the measure onto a broader lands package or seek time agreement. [19]Web search · turn 8 #12[10]Congress.gov — How Our Laws Are Made — Senate reliance on unanimous consent
Timing Window and Vehicles
- Near-term (next 2–4 weeks): Try to clear S.1376 by UC during evening wrap-up around nomination time; if objected to, begin assembling a small trail/forestry stack for a one-sentence package. [17]govinfo (GPO) — Senate Calendar of Business — Oct. 27, 2025 (cover/special orde…
- Alternative: Seek inclusion in any bipartisan year-end lands package or as a minor rider to a must-pass (NDAA/omnibus), a pattern used in 2014 when ~70 public-lands items rode with defense. [12]National Parks Conservation Association — NPCA: Public Lands Package in the FY2…
Risks and Mitigations
Bottom-Line Score and Rationale
Composite viability: 4/5. Rationale: bipartisan, low-cost study; Senate committee-cleared; House companion in hand; multiple viable procedural paths (UC/suspension/rider). The only real friction is calendar crowd-out amid funding fights. [1]Congress.gov — All Actions — S.1376 (119th)[3]Congress.gov — Text — H.R. 2768 (119th): House companion bill text[10]Congress.gov — How Our Laws Are Made — Senate reliance on unanimous consent[11]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Suspension of the Rules in the House (98-…[16]U.S. Senate Periodical Press Gallery — Senate Periodical Press Gallery: Oct. 22…
Key Metrics
Sources: Congress.gov bill/all-actions pages for S.1376 and H.R. 2768. [1]Congress.gov — All Actions — S.1376 (119th)[5]Congress.gov — H.R. 2768 overview (119th)
Operational Next Steps
- [1] All Actions — S.1376 (119th) Congress.gov
- [2] All Information — S.1376 (119th) Congress.gov
- [3] Text — H.R. 2768 (119th): House companion bill text Congress.gov
- [4] Text — S.1376 (119th): Benton MacKaye National Scenic Trail Feasibility Study Act of 2025 Congress.gov
- [5] H.R. 2768 overview (119th) Congress.gov
- [6] Thune delivers first remarks as Senate Majority Leader Office of Sen. John Thune
- [7] 119th Congress opens: Mike Johnson reelected Speaker Associated Press
- [8] Boozman to serve as Chairman, Senate Agriculture (119th) Senate Agriculture Committee
- [9] Chairman Bruce Westerman — House Natural Resources House Natural Resources Committee
- [10] How Our Laws Are Made — Senate reliance on unanimous consent Congress.gov
- [11] CRS: Suspension of the Rules in the House (98-314) Congressional Research Service
- [12] NPCA: Public Lands Package in the FY2015 NDAA (2014) National Parks Conservation Association
- [13] Web search · turn 8 #5
- [14] The Wildlife Society: Congress approves 2014 lands package The Wildlife Society
- [15] CBO estimate (H.R. 6142, Buckeye National Scenic Trail Feasibility Study Act of 2021) Congress.gov (CBO via committee report)
- [16] Senate Periodical Press Gallery: Oct. 22, 2025 floor summary (cloture attempts; schedule) U.S. Senate Periodical Press Gallery
- [17] Senate Calendar of Business — Oct. 27, 2025 (cover/special orders) govinfo (GPO)
- [18] Senate Agriculture Committee (jurisdiction; oversight incl. USFS) Wikipedia
- [19] Web search · turn 8 #12
Discussion