Analyses / Impact Analysis / 119 · S 3033 Impact Analysis

119-S-3033 Investigative Journalist Impact Analysis

119 · S 3033 Improving Access to Care for Rural Veterans Act

Bottom-line assessment
Overall stance: neutral. The proposal aligns with documented access barriers for rural Veterans and could deliver measurable gains—especially in telehealth‑enabled specialties and EMS coordination. Yet the realized impact will be bounded by VA’s ability to remedy well‑characterized weaknesses in leasing, contracting, and EHR performance and to finance connectivity supports in rural communities. If those preconditions are met, the balance tilts favorable; if not, impacts risk being uneven and reversible. [6]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Off…[1]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight o…[3]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Real Property: Action Needed to Impr…[4]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of…[5]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Electronic Health Records: VA Making In…
Rural Veterans relying on VA care
2.8million
Veterans using VA telehealth in 2023
2.4million
VA telehealth encounters in 2023
11.6million
Rural hospitals with negative margins
46% of rural hospitals
Published
24 Oct 2025
Updated
24 Oct 2025
Tags
Impact Analysis · Veterans Affairs · Rural Health
Unvetted
01 · Section

Summary

The bill requires each VA medical facility to partner with a medical facility in a rural area (telehealth, co‑location/leases, training, care coordination, emergency services/transport). For roughly 2.8 million rural Veterans who rely on VA, and amid widespread rural hospital fragility, structured partnerships could expand access and reduce travel burdens—especially if they leverage VA’s large telehealth footprint. However, the scale-up depends on sound lease/contract management and interoperable health IT, which oversight bodies have repeatedly flagged as VA risk areas. Overall, expected impact is mixed-to-promising, contingent on execution. [6]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Off…[1]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight o…[2]Chartis — 2025 Rural Health State of the State[3]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Real Property: Action Needed to Impr…[4]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of…[5]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Electronic Health Records: VA Making In…

Rural Veterans relying on VA care
2.8million
Veterans using VA telehealth in 2023
2.4million
VA telehealth encounters in 2023
11.6million
Rural hospitals with negative margins
46% of rural hospitals
Rural hospitals vulnerable to closure
432facilities
People living in “ambulance deserts”
4.5million

Sources: VA Office of Health Equity; VA Connected Care annual data; Chartis rural hospital analysis; Maine Rural Health Research Center. [6]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Off…[1]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight o…[2]Chartis — 2025 Rural Health State of the State[7]Maine Rural Health Research Center / Rural Health Research Gateway — Ambulance…

02 · Section

Economic Effects

Likely impacts on costs, revenue, and labor markets for VA and rural providers.

  • Leasing/co‑location can shorten build times and extend reach, but VA’s history shows material schedule slippages and cost increases for major medical leases—raising near‑term budget and delivery risk if partnerships rely on new or expanded leases. [3]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Real Property: Action Needed to Impr…[8]VA Office of Inspector General — Management of Major Medical Leases Needs Impro…
  • If partnerships shift some care from higher‑priced Community Care networks to VA‑delivered or discounted partner services, they could moderate VA’s community‑care outlays over time. Community care was about 40% of VA health care with ~$26.7B in FY2023—so small percentage shifts are fiscally meaningful; evidence on realized savings will depend on contract terms and enforcement. [9]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Veterans Health Care: Opportunities to…
  • Structured sharing (space/equipment/personnel) may reduce fixed costs for small rural sites and stabilize service lines; this is directionally consistent with prior GAO findings on interagency sharing benefits, but effectiveness varies with local governance and oversight. [10]U.S. Medicine (summarizing GAO) — VA/DoD Sharing Agreements Can Be Cost-Effecti…
  • Telehealth components can lower VA travel reimbursements and patient travel costs; small VA evaluations show large drops in no‑shows and some travel‑reimbursement savings, suggesting a plausible cost‑containment pathway at scale. [11]PubMed / Elsevier — Evaluation of the Use of Telehealth Video Visits for Vetera…
  • Rural partners could gain a steadier payer mix (VA) at a time when 46% of rural hospitals run negative margins and 432 are at risk; partnership revenue may slow service line erosion (e.g., OB, oncology), though this remains unproven and market‑specific. [2]Chartis — 2025 Rural Health State of the State
  • Countervailing risk: VA contract and service‑contract oversight remains inconsistent, with GAO citing gaps in documentation, staffing, and monitoring—raising the chance of leakage, duplication, or under‑performance in multi‑party agreements. [12]Web search · turn 8 #3[4]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of…
03 · Section

Social Effects

Distributional effects for Veterans and rural communities.

  • Rural Veterans are older and sicker on average (56% aged 65+; higher chronic disease burden), so closer and coordinated services can reduce foregone care and late presentations. [6]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Off…
  • Telehealth use is already mainstream at VA and well‑rated by Veterans (∼11.6M encounters in 2023; satisfaction ~90%+), supporting virtual components in partnerships. [1]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight o…
  • Digital divide is a binding constraint: about 20% of rural Veterans lack home internet access, and VA research notes many enrollees lack sufficient connectivity for video care—partnerships must include connectivity support or on‑site options. [13]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VA offers rural Veterans options to conne…[14]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Telehealth – VA Health Services Research…
  • Emergency services/transport clauses could mitigate “ambulance deserts,” where 4.5M people live >25 minutes from an ambulance station—partnership funding and protocols may shorten response/transfer times if implemented with EMS agencies. [7]Maine Rural Health Research Center / Rural Health Research Gateway — Ambulance…
  • Community effects: sustained clinical presence and training ties can support local employment and reduce out‑migration for care; conversely, poor execution (e.g., intermittent clinics, cancelled sessions) can erode trust. (General mechanism; impact will vary by market.)
04 · Section

Environmental Effects

Potential sustainability outcomes from reduced travel and facility optimization.

  • Replacing some in‑person visits with telehealth avoids patient travel emissions; a 2025 national cohort estimated 21–48 million kg CO₂ avoided per month at 2023 telemedicine rates. [15]American Journal of Managed Care — Impact of Telemedicine Use on Outpatient-Rel…
  • Large‑scale virtual care expansions have documented billions of km of avoided travel and >500 million kg CO₂ reductions in population‑level studies (Ontario), with larger benefits in rural/older groups—directionally relevant to VA partnerships. [16]JAMA Network Open — Association of Virtual Care Expansion With Environmental Su…
  • US data estimate ~35.7 Mt CO₂e annually from patient travel to care; rural trips emit more per visit, implying above‑average emissions benefits when rural travel is displaced by local or virtual care. [17]JAMA Network Open (abstract via Ovid) — Carbon Emissions From Patient Travel fo…
05 · Section

Temporal Analysis

Short‑term versus long‑term consequences.

  1. 0–18 months: Planning burden. VA must stand up oversight, waiver criteria, standard forms, and reporting within 180 days; early years likely face contracting and leasing bottlenecks—historically sources of delay and cost growth. [3]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Real Property: Action Needed to Impr…[8]VA Office of Inspector General — Management of Major Medical Leases Needs Impro…
  2. 1–3 years: Access expands unevenly. Telehealth and limited co‑location progress first; digital divide programs and EMS agreements take longer. Timeliness gains could be diluted where referral‑coordination standards and drive‑time rules are inconsistently applied. [18]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Referral Coordination Initiative for Sp…
  3. 3+ years: If contracts are enforced and data‑sharing stabilizes, partnerships can harden rural networks and reduce long‑distance travel. If not, fragmentation may worsen and costs drift upward—especially if EHR interoperability lags. [5]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Electronic Health Records: VA Making In…
06 · Section

Unintended Consequences

Risks and secondary effects documented in credible sources.

  • Oversight dilution. Mandating partnerships for every VA facility could create hundreds of agreements at once; GAO cites gaps in service‑contract guidance, staffing, and monitoring that could weaken enforcement. [4]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of…
  • Timeliness slippage. GAO finds inconsistent execution of VA’s Referral Coordination Initiative and notes drive‑time eligibility (30 min primary; 60 min specialty) can push demand into external networks without guaranteed faster appointments. [18]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Referral Coordination Initiative for Sp…
  • Digital inequity. Heavy telehealth reliance may widen disparities for Veterans without adequate broadband or devices unless connectivity supports (e.g., device loans, hubs) are funded in the partnerships. [13]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VA offers rural Veterans options to conne…[14]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Telehealth – VA Health Services Research…
  • Financial fragility of partners. Rural hospitals’ high rates of negative margins mean that if payment flows are delayed or volumes lower than projected, services could still retract despite formal partnerships. [2]Chartis — 2025 Rural Health State of the State
  • Regulatory mismatch. The bill adopts USDA’s RUCA definition of “rural”; misclassification at tract/ZIP boundaries can affect eligibility and network design in large metro counties with rural pockets. [20]USDA Economic Research Service — Rural-Urban Commuting Area (RUCA) Codes – ERS
07 · Section

Assessment

Overall stance: neutral. The proposal aligns with documented access barriers for rural Veterans and could deliver measurable gains—especially in telehealth‑enabled specialties and EMS coordination. Yet the realized impact will be bounded by VA’s ability to remedy well‑characterized weaknesses in leasing, contracting, and EHR performance and to finance connectivity supports in rural communities. If those preconditions are met, the balance tilts favorable; if not, impacts risk being uneven and reversible. [6]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Off…[1]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight o…[3]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Real Property: Action Needed to Impr…[4]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of…[5]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Electronic Health Records: VA Making In…

08 · Section

Sourcing

Key references underpinning this analysis (representative, not exhaustive).

  • Rural Veteran population and disparities: VA Office of Health Equity; VA HSR&D. [6]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Off…[14]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Telehealth – VA Health Services Research…
  • RUCA definition used in the bill: USDA ERS RUCA Codes. [20]USDA Economic Research Service — Rural-Urban Commuting Area (RUCA) Codes – ERS
  • VA telehealth scale and satisfaction: VHA Annual/Connected Care; VA News. [1]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight o…[21]U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs — Telehealth and virtual tools deliver high…
  • Community Care exposure and spend: GAO Congressional statements/reports. [9]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Veterans Health Care: Opportunities to…
  • Rural hospital financial distress: Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health. [2]Chartis — 2025 Rural Health State of the State
  • Ambulance deserts: Maine Rural Health Research Center chartbook. [7]Maine Rural Health Research Center / Rural Health Research Gateway — Ambulance…
  • Contracting/leasing risk: GAO and VA OIG on leases and service‑contract oversight. [3]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Real Property: Action Needed to Impr…[8]VA Office of Inspector General — Management of Major Medical Leases Needs Impro…[4]U.S. Government Accountability Office — VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of…
  • Referral coordination and drive‑time standards: GAO on RCI. [18]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Referral Coordination Initiative for Sp…
  • EHR modernization and incident controls: GAO and VA OIG. [5]U.S. Government Accountability Office — Electronic Health Records: VA Making In…[19]VA Office of Inspector General — VA Needs to Strengthen Controls to Address EHR…
  • Environmental benefits of telemedicine: AJMC cohort; JAMA Network Open population study; US travel emissions study. [15]American Journal of Managed Care — Impact of Telemedicine Use on Outpatient-Rel…[16]JAMA Network Open — Association of Virtual Care Expansion With Environmental Su…[17]JAMA Network Open (abstract via Ovid) — Carbon Emissions From Patient Travel fo…
Sources cited
  1. [1] VHA 2023 Annual Report Shines Spotlight on Connected Care U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
  2. [2] 2025 Rural Health State of the State Chartis
  3. [3] VA Real Property: Action Needed to Improve the Leasing of Outpatient Clinics (GAO-14-300) U.S. Government Accountability Office
  4. [4] VA Acquisition Management: Oversight of Service Contracts Needing Heightened Management Attention Could Be Improved (GAO-24-106312) U.S. Government Accountability Office
  5. [5] Electronic Health Records: VA Making Incremental Improvements in New System but Needs Updated Cost Estimate and Schedule (GAO-25-106874) U.S. Government Accountability Office
  6. [6] Access to Care Among Rural Veterans - Office of Health Equity U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
  7. [7] Ambulance Deserts: Geographic Disparities in the Provision of Ambulance Services (Chartbook) Maine Rural Health Research Center / Rural Health Research Gateway
  8. [8] Management of Major Medical Leases Needs Improvement VA Office of Inspector General
  9. [9] Veterans Health Care: Opportunities to Improve Access to Care Through the Veterans Community Care Program (GAO-25-108101) – Statement U.S. Government Accountability Office
  10. [10] VA/DoD Sharing Agreements Can Be Cost-Effective But Get Little Oversight U.S. Medicine (summarizing GAO)
  11. [11] Evaluation of the Use of Telehealth Video Visits for Veterans With Chronic Pain PubMed / Elsevier
  12. [12] Web search · turn 8 #3
  13. [13] VA offers rural Veterans options to connect with providers U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
  14. [14] Telehealth – VA Health Services Research & Development U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
  15. [15] Impact of Telemedicine Use on Outpatient-Related CO2 Emissions: Estimate From a National Cohort American Journal of Managed Care
  16. [16] Association of Virtual Care Expansion With Environmental Sustainability and Reduced Patient Costs During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ontario, Canada JAMA Network Open
  17. [17] Carbon Emissions From Patient Travel for Health Care – Study summary JAMA Network Open (abstract via Ovid)
  18. [18] Referral Coordination Initiative for Specialty Care Needs: Improved Program Direction and Guidance Needed (GAO-25-106678) U.S. Government Accountability Office
  19. [19] VA Needs to Strengthen Controls to Address EHR System Major Performance Incidents VA Office of Inspector General
  20. [20] Rural-Urban Commuting Area (RUCA) Codes – ERS USDA Economic Research Service
  21. [21] Telehealth and virtual tools deliver high-quality care to rural Veterans U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs

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