Analyses / Impact Analysis / 119 · S 764 Impact Analysis

119-S-764 Investigative Journalist Impact Analysis

119 · S 764 Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy Act

Outdoor recreation share of Colorado GDP (2023)
3.2% (≈132,500 jobs)
Thompson Divide administrative withdrawal (2024)
221898acres (20 years)
Wildlife‑vehicle collision reduction after crossings (CO‑9)
90% fewer crashes
West Elk Mine reported GHGs (2023)
296827mt CO2e total (≈291,652 mt CO2e CH4)
Published
04 Dec 2025
Updated
04 Dec 2025
Tags
Impact Analysis · Colorado · Public Lands
Unvetted
01 · Section

Summary

S. 764 (Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy Act) would: (1) designate additional wilderness and wildlife conservation areas along the Continental Divide and in the San Juan Mountains; (2) create special management areas; (3) legislatively withdraw the Thompson Divide from new mineral leasing and stand up a fugitive coal‑mine methane pilot; and (4) formally establish and manage the Curecanti National Recreation Area. As of December 2, 2025 the bill was in the Senate Energy & Natural Resources Committee after a subcommittee hearing. [1]Congress.gov — S.764 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Colorado Outdoor Recreation…

Outdoor recreation share of Colorado GDP (2023)
3.2% (≈132,500 jobs)
Thompson Divide administrative withdrawal (2024)
221898acres (20 years)
Wildlife‑vehicle collision reduction after crossings (CO‑9)
90% fewer crashes
West Elk Mine reported GHGs (2023)
296827mt CO2e total (≈291,652 mt CO2e CH4)
CBO cost for prior CORE version (implementing admin tasks)
3$M (2020–2024 window)

Context for these figures: BEA’s Outdoor Recreation Satellite Account reports Colorado’s recreation economy at roughly 3.2% of state GDP and 132,500 jobs in 2023; the Department of the Interior’s April 2024 Public Land Order withdrew ~222,000 acres in the Thompson Divide from future mineral entry for 20 years (subject to valid rights); peer‑reviewed monitoring on Colorado State Highway 9 documented ~90% reductions in wildlife‑vehicle collisions after constructing crossings; EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program shows substantial methane emissions from active Colorado coal mines (e.g., West Elk Mine); and CBO previously estimated low, single‑digit millions to implement mapping/survey/management planning under earlier CORE text. [3]U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis — Outdoor Recreation | Outdoor Recreation Sate…[2]U.S. Department of the Interior — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protect…[4]TRID / Transportation Research Board — State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Moni…[6]U.S. EPA — EPA GHGRP Facility Detail – West Elk Mine (2023)[5]Congress.gov — House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy A…

02 · Section

Economic Effects

Salient channels: outdoor recreation/tourism, energy/minerals, ranching/grazing, and administrative costs.

  • Outdoor recreation and gateway communities: By protecting high‑value landscapes and codifying Curecanti NRA operations, the bill likely reinforces a sector that contributed ≈3.2% of Colorado GDP and ~132,500 jobs in 2023. Long‑run local gains typically arise via spending on lodging, food, retail, guiding, and higher amenity values that attract residents and firms. [3]U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis — Outdoor Recreation | Outdoor Recreation Sate…[7]Web search · turn 4 #2
  • Oil & gas/mining activity forgone in Thompson Divide: The bill would make the 2024 administrative withdrawal effectively permanent by statute; DOI’s 2024 action already removed ≈221,898 acres from new mineral entry for 20 years, and agencies noted no current or planned oil exploration in the area at that time—limiting near‑term opportunity costs. [2]U.S. Department of the Interior — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protect…[8]U.S. Department of Agriculture — USDA press release: Protections for Thompson D…
  • Lease credits: Title III authorizes bid/royalty/rental credits for lease relinquishment and Wolf Creek Storage Field development‑right transfers. Prior CORE scoring guidance from CBO for similar administrative sections put federal implementation costs (surveys, signage, plans, enforcement) at about $3 million over several years; revenue effects from credits would depend on take‑up and timing. No 119th‑Congress score is posted yet. [5]Congress.gov — House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy A…[1]Congress.gov — S.764 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Colorado Outdoor Recreation…
  • Coal‑mine methane pilot (Garfield/Gunnison/Delta/Pitkin): Capturing or destroying fugitive methane can generate local construction/O&M work and energy or offset revenue where flows are sufficient. Colorado’s Elk Creek project demonstrated revenue and large emissions abatement when gas flows allowed, later shifting to flaring as methane declined—illustrating real but site‑specific economics. [9]Aspen Chamber / Aspen Skiing Co. — Aspen Snowmass Progress Report on Methane‑to…[10]Aspen Journalism — SkiCo‑funded methane‑capture project no longer generates ele…
  • Ranching/grazing: Grazing may continue where previously established; wilderness/management‑area language follows standard terms, so effects on ranch income are likely marginal and depend on allotment‑by‑allotment administration. Curecanti provisions also preserve existing grazing where applicable. [1]Congress.gov — S.764 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Colorado Outdoor Recreation…[11]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI testimony on CORE Act (Curecanti provisio…
  • Net fiscal/administrative: Consistent with earlier CORE iterations, agencies would incur modest, one‑time costs for boundary surveys, maps, signage, and management plans; annual patrol/operations costs are relatively small. Directional reference only until a current CBO score is issued. [5]Congress.gov — House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy A…
03 · Section

Social Effects

Distributional effects across residents, visitors, and user groups.

  • Traffic safety and communities: Wildlife conservation areas and corridor protections (e.g., Porcupine Gulch over the I‑70 corridor) align with ongoing CDOT/CPW build‑outs on West Vail Pass; similar Colorado crossing complexes cut wildlife‑vehicle crashes about 90%, lowering injuries, fatalities, and repair costs in mountain communities. [12]Colorado Parks & Wildlife — Wildlife Migration and Movement – I‑70 West Vail Pa…[4]TRID / Transportation Research Board — State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Moni…
  • Hunting and fishing access: Curecanti NRA language authorizes boating, hunting, and fishing (subject to closures for safety or law compliance) and reaffirms longstanding fishing‑easement commitments in the Upper Gunnison, sustaining traditional uses. [13]Congress.gov — Text – H.R. 1728 (119th): Curecanti NRA recreation access clauses
  • Tribal uses: Titles I–II preserve treaty rights and provide for continued traditional cultural uses (ceremonies, plant gathering), supporting continuity of practice and access. [1]Congress.gov — S.764 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Colorado Outdoor Recreation…
  • Mechanized recreation trade‑offs: New wilderness designations restrict “mechanical transport,” including mountain bikes and game carts, shifting some popular routes to nearby non‑wilderness areas or designated corridors. This benefits solitude/primitive recreation but reduces access for some users. [14]U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service — General Overview of Wilderness Stewardship Polic…[15]Federal Register / National Park Service — Federal Register: NPS bicycle/e‑bike…
  • Local identity and amenity migration: Protected‑lands branding tends to enhance community attractiveness for residents and firms in services and outdoor industries, with mixed evidence on housing pressure and labor‑market winners/losers. [7]Web search · turn 4 #2
04 · Section

Environmental Effects

Primary pathways: habitat connectivity, watershed condition, and methane abatement.

  • Habitat and connectivity: Designations along the Continental Divide and in the San Juans secure high‑elevation big‑game habitat and linkages across the I‑70 corridor; empirical monitoring on CO‑9 shows 90–92% reductions in wildlife‑vehicle collisions and >100,000 successful passages by mule deer over five years—evidence of strong functional connectivity when fencing and structures are paired. [4]TRID / Transportation Research Board — State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Moni…
  • Watersheds and water quality: Wilderness and low‑road‑density management generally correlate with higher‑quality headwaters and fewer sediment/pollutant inputs, a recurring theme in USFS syntheses and hydrology reviews. Protecting source waters in high‑elevation units (e.g., Curecanti basin tributaries) supports fisheries and downstream supplies. [16]USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station — Freshwater resources in…
  • Methane abatement (coal‑mine methane): Methane is a short‑lived climate “super pollutant” with ~80× the 20‑year warming potential of CO₂; capturing or destroying fugitive flows from active/abandoned coal mines yields rapid climate benefits and safety co‑benefits. USGS/EPA document technical feasibility; Colorado facilities report sizable CH₄ emissions, underscoring mitigation potential. [17]UN Environment Programme — Facts about Methane[18]U.S. EPA — Coalbed Methane Outreach Program (CMOP)[19]U.S. Geological Survey — USGS: Mitigating climate change by abating coal mine m…[6]U.S. EPA — EPA GHGRP Facility Detail – West Elk Mine (2023)
  • Air‑quality and co‑pollutant benefits: Methane control often reduces VOCs and hazardous air pollutants from associated operations, improving local air quality; while EPA’s 2023 oil‑and‑gas methane standards are a separate program, the co‑benefit logic is applicable to methane mitigation efforts generally. [20]Web search · turn 6 #2
05 · Section

Temporal Analysis

Short‑term versus long‑term effects differ across components.

Horizon Likely effects
0–2 years Agency costs for maps, surveys, and plans; public process for methane‑pilot inventory; limited immediate economic change in Thompson Divide given existing 2024 withdrawal; safety gains begin where wildlife features already underway. [5]Congress.gov — House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy A…[2]U.S. Department of the Interior — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protect…[12]Colorado Parks & Wildlife — Wildlife Migration and Movement – I‑70 West Vail Pa…
3–10 years Stabilization of recreation‑led spending around new designations; methane projects deployed at high‑leak sites where feasible; continued crash reductions as additional crossings/fencing are completed and maintained. [3]U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis — Outdoor Recreation | Outdoor Recreation Sate…[18]U.S. EPA — Coalbed Methane Outreach Program (CMOP)[4]TRID / Transportation Research Board — State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Moni…
>10 years Persistent amenity and habitat values; statutory withdrawal provides durable planning certainty; cumulative methane‑abatement climate benefits accrue, though dependent on sustaining flows and funding. [2]U.S. Department of the Interior — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protect…[19]U.S. Geological Survey — USGS: Mitigating climate change by abating coal mine m…
06 · Section

Unintended Consequences

Risks and second‑order effects documented in credible sources or reasonably inferred from implementation patterns.

07 · Section

Assessment

  • Overall stance (analytical): Neutral‑to‑slightly favorable.
  • Why:
  • - Economic: Recreation gains and amenity stabilization outweigh limited near‑term foregone extractive activity in Thompson Divide, which has already been under a 20‑year administrative withdrawal. [3]U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis — Outdoor Recreation | Outdoor Recreation Sate…[2]U.S. Department of the Interior — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protect…
  • - Environmental: Strong evidence for connectivity/safety benefits and credible methane‑abatement potential with fast climate payback. [4]TRID / Transportation Research Board — State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Moni…[17]UN Environment Programme — Facts about Methane
  • - Social: Maintains hunting/fishing and Tribal uses but narrows mechanized access in new wilderness—an explicit trade‑off to manage via alternative trail systems. [13]Congress.gov — Text – H.R. 1728 (119th): Curecanti NRA recreation access clauses[14]U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service — General Overview of Wilderness Stewardship Polic…
  • - Fiscal: Prior CORE cost estimates suggest modest federal implementation costs; lease‑credit usage is the main unknown for receipts. Track a future CBO score. [5]Congress.gov — House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy A…
08 · Section

Sourcing & Status Notes

  • Bill status and content: Congress.gov S.764 page (introduced 2/27/2025; subcommittee hearing held 12/02/2025). [1]Congress.gov — S.764 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Colorado Outdoor Recreation…
  • Thompson Divide administrative baseline: DOI/BLM 4/3/2024 public land order and summary. [2]U.S. Department of the Interior — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protect…[23]U.S. Bureau of Land Management — Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protecti…
  • Outdoor recreation economy: BEA ORSA national/state release and interactive tables (2023 data). [24]U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis — News Release: Outdoor Recreation Satellite A…[3]U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis — Outdoor Recreation | Outdoor Recreation Sate…
  • Wildlife‑crossing effectiveness and West Vail Pass project context: TRID monitored study; CPW/CDOT project page. [4]TRID / Transportation Research Board — State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Moni…[12]Colorado Parks & Wildlife — Wildlife Migration and Movement – I‑70 West Vail Pa…
  • Methane context: UNEP methane facts; EPA CMOP; USGS 2024 coal‑mine methane review; EPA GHGRP facility data (West Elk Mine). [17]UN Environment Programme — Facts about Methane[18]U.S. EPA — Coalbed Methane Outreach Program (CMOP)[19]U.S. Geological Survey — USGS: Mitigating climate change by abating coal mine m…[6]U.S. EPA — EPA GHGRP Facility Detail – West Elk Mine (2023)
  • Curecanti management provisions and hunting/fishing access: DOI testimony and House text citing SRS findings and access clauses. [11]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI testimony on CORE Act (Curecanti provisio…[13]Congress.gov — Text – H.R. 1728 (119th): Curecanti NRA recreation access clauses
  • Wilderness mechanized transport rules: FWS policy and NPS regulatory background. [14]U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service — General Overview of Wilderness Stewardship Polic…[15]Federal Register / National Park Service — Federal Register: NPS bicycle/e‑bike…
  • Prior CBO estimate for related CORE bill sections (implementation costs): House report excerpt (2019). [5]Congress.gov — House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy A…
Sources cited
  1. [1] S.764 - 119th Congress (2025-2026): Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy Act Congress.gov
  2. [2] Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protections for Thompson Divide U.S. Department of the Interior
  3. [3] Outdoor Recreation | Outdoor Recreation Satellite Account, U.S. and States, 2023 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  4. [4] State Highway 9 Wildlife Mitigation Monitoring TRID / Transportation Research Board
  5. [5] House Report 116-226 – Colorado Outdoor Recreation and Economy Act (CBO excerpt) Congress.gov
  6. [6] EPA GHGRP Facility Detail – West Elk Mine (2023) U.S. EPA
  7. [7] Web search · turn 4 #2
  8. [8] USDA press release: Protections for Thompson Divide finalized (notes no current/planned exploration) U.S. Department of Agriculture
  9. [9] Aspen Snowmass Progress Report on Methane‑to‑Electricity Plant Aspen Chamber / Aspen Skiing Co.
  10. [10] SkiCo‑funded methane‑capture project no longer generates electricity Aspen Journalism
  11. [11] DOI testimony on CORE Act (Curecanti provisions) – S. 241 U.S. Department of the Interior
  12. [12] Wildlife Migration and Movement – I‑70 West Vail Pass Colorado Parks & Wildlife
  13. [13] Text – H.R. 1728 (119th): Curecanti NRA recreation access clauses Congress.gov
  14. [14] General Overview of Wilderness Stewardship Policy (mechanical transport) U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service
  15. [15] Federal Register: NPS bicycle/e‑bike rule (mechanical transport in wilderness) Federal Register / National Park Service
  16. [16] Freshwater resources in designated wilderness areas of the United States: State‑of‑knowledge review USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station
  17. [17] Facts about Methane UN Environment Programme
  18. [18] Coalbed Methane Outreach Program (CMOP) U.S. EPA
  19. [19] USGS: Mitigating climate change by abating coal mine methane (review) U.S. Geological Survey
  20. [20] Web search · turn 6 #2
  21. [21] Web search · turn 4 #0
  22. [22] Methane Emissions Reduction Program (recent activity log) U.S. EPA
  23. [23] Biden-Harris Administration Finalizes Protections for Thompson Divide (BLM release) U.S. Bureau of Land Management
  24. [24] News Release: Outdoor Recreation Satellite Account, U.S. and States, 2023 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

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