119-HR-2876 DC Insider Whip Count Analysis
119 · HR 2876 University of Utah Research Park Act
Low-controversy Utah lands fix. House cleared H.R. 2876 on Dec. 15 by voice under suspension; Senate ENR reported the identical Senate bill favorably; DOI signaled support; Utah’s Mike Lee chairs ENR and is the sponsor; GOP controls the Senate under Leader Thune. Expect hotline/unanimous-consent passage in the Senate; odds high. [1]Office of Rep. Blake Moore — Rep. Blake Moore: Research Park Act Passes the Hou…[2]House Republican Cloakroom — Republican Cloakroom: Monday, December 15, 2025 sc…[3]Library of Congress — All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably)[4]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI: Pending Legislation — H.R. 2876 Statemen…[5]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Heinrich, Lee Announce…[6]Senate Republican Leader — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lead…
Breakdown: party-line expectations
This is a narrow, Utah-specific public-lands clarification that typically moves on the suspension/UC tracks. Public positions and committee action point to broad bipartisan support. [1]Office of Rep. Blake Moore — Rep. Blake Moore: Research Park Act Passes the Hou…[3]Library of Congress — All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably)
- House: Passed on Dec. 15, 2025, by voice vote under suspension; no recorded opposition—standard for noncontroversial lands bills. Floor schedule and the sponsor’s statement confirm action. [2]House Republican Cloakroom — Republican Cloakroom: Monday, December 15, 2025 sc…[1]Office of Rep. Blake Moore — Rep. Blake Moore: Research Park Act Passes the Hou…
- House coalition: All four Utah Republicans sponsored/backs the bill; Natural Resources Committee reported it without dissent (unanimous consent). [7]Library of Congress — H.R.2876 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress…[8]Web search · turn 11 #5
- Senate posture: Identical Senate bill (S.1453) reported favorably without amendment from Energy & Natural Resources (ENR). Utah’s Mike Lee (Chair) and John Curtis (co-sponsor) are leading. [9]Library of Congress — S.1453 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.g…[3]Library of Congress — All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably)
- Administration/executive view: Interior supported the bill’s objective in written testimony, signaling no administration obstacle. [4]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI: Pending Legislation — H.R. 2876 Statemen…
- Institutional context: Republicans control the Senate; John Thune is Majority Leader, with the 53–seat GOP majority creating a friendly floor for ENR-cleared, home‑state, noncontroversial items. [6]Senate Republican Leader — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lead…[10]South Dakota Public Broadcasting — Sen. Thune officially Senate Majority Leader…
Key legislators (swing and pivotal)
The path is leadership- and chair-driven; swing votes are minimal given the bill’s scope and posture.
- Sen. Mike Lee (R‑UT) — ENR Chair and Senate sponsor; can steer hotline/UC clearance and has already moved the companion through committee. [5]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Heinrich, Lee Announce…[9]Library of Congress — S.1453 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.g…
- Sen. John Curtis (R‑UT) — Senate co‑sponsor; home‑state advocate aligned with Lee to clear holds. [11]Web search · turn 10 #1
- Sen. John Barrasso (R‑WY) — ENR Public Lands Subcommittee Chair; typical gatekeeper for lands UC packages. [5]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Heinrich, Lee Announce…
- Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D‑NV) — ENR Public Lands Subcommittee Ranking Member; her acquiescence helps keep a hotline clean. [5]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Heinrich, Lee Announce…
- Sen. John Thune (R‑SD) — Majority Leader; controls floor time and the hotline process for UC bundles. [6]Senate Republican Leader — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lead…
- Rep. Bruce Westerman (R‑AR) — House Natural Resources Chair; already delivered a unanimous committee report, signaling low House friction (useful if a Senate-amended bill returned). [8]Web search · turn 11 #5[12]House Committee on Natural Resources — Chairman Westerman (House Natural Resour…
Leadership influence and procedure
Procedural dynamics favor quick Senate clearance if time remains before adjournment.
- Senate: With GOP control, Thune can hotline H.R. 2876 (House‑passed vehicle) for unanimous consent, avoiding a recorded vote; ENR leadership (Lee) is aligned. If any hold surfaces, it can ride a small lands package. [6]Senate Republican Leader — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lead…[5]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Heinrich, Lee Announce…
- Committee leverage: ENR already reported the identical Senate companion without amendment—clean text simplifies UC. [3]Library of Congress — All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably)
- House: Already cleared under suspension; if the Senate instead passes S.1453, the House can accept it on the suspension calendar with minimal floor time. [2]House Republican Cloakroom — Republican Cloakroom: Monday, December 15, 2025 sc…[9]Library of Congress — S.1453 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.g…
- Executive branch: DOI’s supportive testimony lowers veto/agency‑objection risk and reassures senators who defer to DOI on R&PP Act clarifications. [4]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI: Pending Legislation — H.R. 2876 Statemen…
Assessment: odds and timing
Bottom line from a whip perspective: this is a classic noncontroversial land‑use clarification with home‑state buy‑in and positive agency signals.
- Likelihood of Senate passage: High. Expect UC via hotline, given ENR report, Utah delegation support, and lack of organized opposition. [3]Library of Congress — All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably)[9]Library of Congress — S.1453 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.g…
- Timing: Near‑term if leadership slots it into a year‑end UC bundle; otherwise first available window in January. Floor has already been running noncontroversial resource bills. [2]House Republican Cloakroom — Republican Cloakroom: Monday, December 15, 2025 sc…
- Risk factors: end‑of‑year floor congestion; isolated UC holds (often leveraged for unrelated issues). No substantive policy objections flagged by DOI. [4]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI: Pending Legislation — H.R. 2876 Statemen…
Sourcing
Key documents and official pages underpinning this whip count.
- H.R. 2876 bill page, text and report references (Congress.gov). [7]Library of Congress — H.R.2876 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress…
- House floor schedule/listing for Dec. 15 (Congress.gov) and Republican Cloakroom day‑of guidance. [13]Library of Congress — On the House Floor on December 15, 2025 (Congress.gov)[2]House Republican Cloakroom — Republican Cloakroom: Monday, December 15, 2025 sc…
- Sponsor confirmation of House passage (Rep. Moore press release). [1]Office of Rep. Blake Moore — Rep. Blake Moore: Research Park Act Passes the Hou…
- Senate companion status — S.1453 reported favorably (Congress.gov) and ENR committee releases. [9]Library of Congress — S.1453 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.g…[3]Library of Congress — All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably)[14]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Committee Advances Lee’…
- DOI written testimony supporting the bill’s objective. [4]U.S. Department of the Interior — DOI: Pending Legislation — H.R. 2876 Statemen…
- Institutional context: Senate GOP majority/leadership (Thune statements; SDPB report) and ENR chairmanship. [6]Senate Republican Leader — Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Lead…[10]South Dakota Public Broadcasting — Sen. Thune officially Senate Majority Leader…[5]U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources — Heinrich, Lee Announce…
- [1] Rep. Blake Moore: Research Park Act Passes the House (press release) Office of Rep. Blake Moore
- [2] Republican Cloakroom: Monday, December 15, 2025 schedule House Republican Cloakroom
- [3] All Info — S.1453 (Committee ordered reported favorably) Library of Congress
- [4] DOI: Pending Legislation — H.R. 2876 Statement for the Record U.S. Department of the Interior
- [5] Heinrich, Lee Announce Subcommittee Assignments for 119th Congress (ENR) U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
- [6] Thune Delivers First Remarks as Senate Majority Leader Senate Republican Leader
- [7] H.R.2876 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.gov) Library of Congress
- [8] Web search · turn 11 #5
- [9] S.1453 — University of Utah Research Park Act (Congress.gov) Library of Congress
- [10] Sen. Thune officially Senate Majority Leader as 119th Congress sworn in South Dakota Public Broadcasting
- [11] Web search · turn 10 #1
- [12] Chairman Westerman (House Natural Resources Committee) House Committee on Natural Resources
- [13] On the House Floor on December 15, 2025 (Congress.gov) Library of Congress
- [14] Committee Advances Lee’s University of Utah Research Park Act (ENR GOP) U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
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