Analyses / Whip Count Analysis / 119 · HR 2675 Whip Count Analysis

119-HR-2675 DC Insider Whip Count Analysis

119 · HR 2675 Protecting Our Courts from Foreign Manipulation Act of 2025

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H.R. 2675 is a House Judiciary bill to force disclosure of foreign‑sourced litigation funding and ban funding by foreign states and sovereign wealth funds. The House GOP majority, Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan, and Rules Chair Virginia Foxx can move it to the floor; it already had full committee markups on November 18–19, 2025. With 17 cosponsors (including one Democrat), outside support from the U.S. Chamber, and less intraconference resistance than broader TPLF bills, the House outlook is favorable. In the Senate, Republicans control the chamber and Judiciary is chaired by Chuck Grassley, but a 60‑vote cloture threshold still applies; prospects improve if paired with bipartisan anti‑foreign‑influence efforts or attached to a larger vehicle. Overall: Likelihood of House passage—high; enactment this Congress—moderate. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[2]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary: Markup notice including H.R. 2…[3]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary Committee Republicans — The Cha…[4]House Rules Committee — Rules Committee — Chairwoman Foxx opening remarks (119t…[5]U.S. Chamber of Commerce — U.S. Chamber coalition letter backing H.R. 2675[6]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress)

Analyzed as
DC Insider
Published
21 Nov 2025
Updated
21 Nov 2025
Tags
119th Congress · whip count · House Judiciary
Unvetted
01 · Section

Breakdown: expected support and opposition

Grounded in current chamber control, public bill text, official actions, and visible stakeholder activity.

  • Bill scope and text: requires disclosure to the court, other parties, DOJ (including NSD) of any foreign person/state/SWF with a contingent right to proceeds and bans funding sourced from foreign states or sovereign wealth funds; agreements violating the ban are void. [7]Congress.gov — Text — H.R.2675 (119th): Protecting Our Courts from Foreign Mani…
  • Status and venue: H.R. 2675 (Cline) is in House Judiciary; full committee held markups on November 18–19, 2025. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[2]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary: Markup notice including H.R. 2…
  • Cosponsors: 17 (primarily Republicans) with one Democrat (Eugene Vindman, VA‑07), signaling limited but real bipartisan interest. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)
  • House control: Republicans hold a narrow majority; Mike Johnson was re‑elected Speaker on January 3, 2025. Expect most Republicans to back this narrower foreign‑focused bill; some Democrats—especially national‑security‑minded—may join. [8]Reuters — House re-elects Mike Johnson as Speaker
  • Senate control: Republicans hold the majority; the filibuster remains (60‑vote cloture), shaping the coalition needed. [6]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress)[9]Senate Republican Conference — Senate GOP leadership announcement (119th)
  • Outside forces: U.S. Chamber and aligned business/insurance groups support—explicitly backing H.R. 2675. By contrast, civil‑justice and some conservative privacy/First Amendment groups have attacked broader TPLF disclosure (H.R. 1109); that split is less acute for this foreign‑only bill but still a watch factor. [5]U.S. Chamber of Commerce — U.S. Chamber coalition letter backing H.R. 2675[10]Insurance Business America — APCIA backs litigation transparency measures (trad…[11]Reuters — Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109)[12]Fox News — Conservative groups letter opposing H.R. 1109 (report)
Caucus/Bloc House posture Senate posture Evidence
House GOP (majority) Mostly supportive; sponsor sits on Courts/IP Subcommittee; committee markups held GOP Senate likely favorable; Judiciary chaired by Grassley Text/markups; committee leadership; GOP control. [13]Web search · turn 15 #2[1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[2]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary: Markup notice including H.R. 2…[14]Senate Judiciary Committee — Grassley resumes Senate Judiciary chairmanship (11…
House Democrats Skeptical overall, but pockets of support (e.g., Vindman as cosponsor) Dem crossovers needed for 60 votes; national‑security framing could attract a handful Cosponsors list; 60‑vote requirement. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[6]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress)
Civil‑justice/Trial‑lawyer aligned Oppose expansive TPLF disclosure; less clear on foreign‑only ban but pressure remains Similar posture; lobby to soften disclosure/banning language Recent coverage of H.R. 1109 fights. [11]Reuters — Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109)
Business/insurer coalition (Chamber/APCIA) Support; urging passage Support mirrored; often push for Senate action or NDAA riders Public letters/articles. [5]U.S. Chamber of Commerce — U.S. Chamber coalition letter backing H.R. 2675[10]Insurance Business America — APCIA backs litigation transparency measures (trad…
02 · Section

Key legislators and pivotal votes

Focus on members with procedural leverage or credible swing potential.

  • House floor/leadership: Speaker Mike Johnson has prior history championing this concept (introduced the 2023 companion). Expect him to green‑light floor time once Judiciary reports. Rules Chair Virginia Foxx controls the rule. [15]Page view · turn 12 #0[4]House Rules Committee — Rules Committee — Chairwoman Foxx opening remarks (119t…
  • House Judiciary: Chair Jim Jordan can advance the bill; Subcommittee on Courts/IP is chaired by Darrell Issa; sponsor Ben Cline sits on that subcommittee. Ranking Member is Jamie Raskin. [3]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary Committee Republicans — The Cha…[13]Web search · turn 15 #2[16]House Judiciary (Democrats) — House Judiciary Democrats — Raskin as Ranking Mem…
  • House swing Democrats to watch: national‑security‑messaging Dems (e.g., from Virginia) given Vindman’s cosponsorship; broader Dem ranks remain skeptical of TPLF restrictions. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[11]Reuters — Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109)
  • House GOP skeptics: the factions opposing H.R. 1109 on privacy/association grounds (America First Legal, Heritage Oversight) could try to narrow 2675—less likely to whip against a foreign‑only ban but could target DOJ reporting reach. [12]Fox News — Conservative groups letter opposing H.R. 1109 (report)[11]Reuters — Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109)
  • Senate process owners: Majority Leader John Thune controls floor; Judiciary Chair Chuck Grassley controls markup. Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s posture determines Dem floor cooperation. [9]Senate Republican Conference — Senate GOP leadership announcement (119th)[14]Senate Judiciary Committee — Grassley resumes Senate Judiciary chairmanship (11…
  • Senate champions: Sen. John Kennedy filed the companion (S.3180) on Nov. 18, 2025—useful for packaging and messaging. [17]Congress.gov — S.3180 (119th) — companion bill in Senate (Kennedy)
03 · Section

Leadership stance and procedural dynamics

Where the levers are—and what they mean for the whip.

  • House pathway: After full committee markup (Nov. 18–19), next steps are reporting the bill and obtaining a structured rule from Rules. Narrow scope and Chamber backing improve leadership’s incentive to schedule floor time. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[2]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary: Markup notice including H.R. 2…[4]House Rules Committee — Rules Committee — Chairwoman Foxx opening remarks (119t…
  • Senate pathway: GOP majority streamlines committee movement, but 60‑vote cloture still binds; Thune has signaled no changes to the filibuster. Realistically requires bipartisan buy‑in or attachment to a broader vehicle. [6]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress)[9]Senate Republican Conference — Senate GOP leadership announcement (119th)
  • Companion/synergy: Kennedy’s S.3180 gives Grassley a vehicle; anti‑foreign‑influence items have won bipartisan traction recently (e.g., PAID OFF Act folded into NDAA in October). Packaging with must‑pass or consensus security items increases odds. [17]Congress.gov — S.3180 (119th) — companion bill in Senate (Kennedy)[18]Office of Sen. John Cornyn — Cornyn: PAID OFF Act passed Senate as part of FY26…
  • House–Senate coordination: If the House moves first, Senate prospects improve—especially if House vote is bipartisan. Conversely, a narrow party‑line House vote heightens Senate Dem leverage on carve‑outs and DOJ reporting scope. (Inference from chamber dynamics and cited actions.) [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)
04 · Section

Assessment: whip count and odds

Bottom‑line forecast grounded in current facts; confidence levels reflect procedural risk, not policy merit.

House cosponsors
17members
Senate GOP seats (119th)
53seats
Cloture threshold
60votes
  • House whip count: High likelihood of passage. Rationale: GOP control; Judiciary and Rules alignment; outside business coalition support; narrower scope than H.R. 1109 reduces intraconference resistance; at least one Democratic cosponsor suggests a small bipartisan bloc. Confidence: high. [1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)[3]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary Committee Republicans — The Cha…[4]House Rules Committee — Rules Committee — Chairwoman Foxx opening remarks (119t…[5]U.S. Chamber of Commerce — U.S. Chamber coalition letter backing H.R. 2675
  • Senate whip count: Requires ~7+ Democratic/Independent votes to clear cloture. GOP likely near‑unanimous; bipartisan anti‑foreign‑influence appetite exists, but civil‑justice concerns and calendar crowding create friction. Likelihood of standalone passage: moderate. Likelihood if paired with a larger vehicle (e.g., NDAA/justice package): moderately higher. Confidence: moderate. [6]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress)[18]Office of Sen. John Cornyn — Cornyn: PAID OFF Act passed Senate as part of FY26…
  • Institutional risks to flag: (1) House conservatives who opposed H.R. 1109 could seek to narrow DOJ reporting or expand safe harbors; (2) Senate Dems could condition votes on limiting discovery exposure or tightening definitions. Watch the manager’s amendment in any House Judiciary executive session and Senate substitute in Grassley’s markup. [11]Reuters — Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109)
05 · Section

Key sources (selected)

Primary references used for posture, control, and stakeholder positions.

  • Bill text and actions: Congress.gov H.R. 2675 pages (text; actions; cosponsors; markups). [7]Congress.gov — Text — H.R.2675 (119th): Protecting Our Courts from Foreign Mani…[1]Congress.gov — All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors)
  • House committee markup notice: House Judiciary schedule (Nov. 18, 2025). [2]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary: Markup notice including H.R. 2…
  • Chamber control and leadership: House Speaker vote; Senate party division; Senate GOP leadership slate. [8]Reuters — House re-elects Mike Johnson as Speaker[6]U.S. Senate — U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress)[9]Senate Republican Conference — Senate GOP leadership announcement (119th)
  • Committee chairs/ranking: House Judiciary (Jordan; Raskin); Senate Judiciary (Grassley). [3]House Judiciary (Republicans) — House Judiciary Committee Republicans — The Cha…[16]House Judiciary (Democrats) — House Judiciary Democrats — Raskin as Ranking Mem…[14]Senate Judiciary Committee — Grassley resumes Senate Judiciary chairmanship (11…
  • Stakeholders: U.S. Chamber coalition letter supporting H.R. 2675; reporting on conservative opposition to broader H.R. 1109; insurer trade press support. [5]U.S. Chamber of Commerce — U.S. Chamber coalition letter backing H.R. 2675[11]Reuters — Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109)[10]Insurance Business America — APCIA backs litigation transparency measures (trad…
  • Senate companion: S. 3180 (Kennedy) filed Nov. 18, 2025; Kennedy release. [17]Congress.gov — S.3180 (119th) — companion bill in Senate (Kennedy)[19]Office of Sen. John Kennedy — Kennedy reintroduces POCFMA press release (Senate)
Sources cited
  1. [1] All Info — H.R.2675 (actions, markups, cosponsors) Congress.gov
  2. [2] House Judiciary: Markup notice including H.R. 2675 House Judiciary (Republicans)
  3. [3] House Judiciary Committee Republicans — The Chairman (Jim Jordan) House Judiciary (Republicans)
  4. [4] Rules Committee — Chairwoman Foxx opening remarks (119th organization) House Rules Committee
  5. [5] U.S. Chamber coalition letter backing H.R. 2675 U.S. Chamber of Commerce
  6. [6] U.S. Senate: Party Division (119th Congress) U.S. Senate
  7. [7] Text — H.R.2675 (119th): Protecting Our Courts from Foreign Manipulation Act of 2025 Congress.gov
  8. [8] House re-elects Mike Johnson as Speaker Reuters
  9. [9] Senate GOP leadership announcement (119th) Senate Republican Conference
  10. [10] APCIA backs litigation transparency measures (trade press) Insurance Business America
  11. [11] Conservatives split on TPLF disclosure bill (H.R. 1109) Reuters
  12. [12] Conservative groups letter opposing H.R. 1109 (report) Fox News
  13. [13] Web search · turn 15 #2
  14. [14] Grassley resumes Senate Judiciary chairmanship (119th) Senate Judiciary Committee
  15. [15] Page view · turn 12 #0
  16. [16] House Judiciary Democrats — Raskin as Ranking Member House Judiciary (Democrats)
  17. [17] S.3180 (119th) — companion bill in Senate (Kennedy) Congress.gov
  18. [18] Cornyn: PAID OFF Act passed Senate as part of FY26 NDAA Office of Sen. John Cornyn
  19. [19] Kennedy reintroduces POCFMA press release (Senate) Office of Sen. John Kennedy

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