Analyses / Procedural Viability Check / 119 · S 2806 Procedural Viability Check

119-S-2806 DC Insider Procedural Viability Check

119 · S 2806 Eliminate Shutdowns Act

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Eliminate Shutdowns ActThis bill provides continuing appropriations to prevent a government shutdown if the appropriations bills for a fiscal year have not been enacted before the fiscal year begins...
Procedural read

Senate GOP has teed up S. 2806 under Rule XIV with a filed cloture motion, but it’s a stand‑alone automatic CR that needs 60 votes; with zero cosponsors, appropriators wary of “autopilot” funding, and floor time consumed by a nascent FY2026 shutdown fight, the bill is a messaging play more than a lawmaking vehicle right now. Composite viability: 2/5. [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov[2]Congress.gov — Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on moti…[3]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Filibusters and Cloture in the Senate (RL…[4]Office of Sen. Susan Collins — Sen. Collins statement (2016): CRs put governmen…[5]The Guardian — First closure of US government since 2018 begins after funding b…

2
Composite viability (0–5)
53seats
Senate GOP seats (approx.)
60votes
Votes needed to end debate
1cloture motion filed on motion to proceed
Senate status
Published
01 Oct 2025
Updated
07 Oct 2025
Tags
procedural-viability · appropriations · filibuster
Unvetted
01 · Section

S. 2806 — Eliminate Shutdowns Act: snapshot

  • Sponsor: Sen. Ron Johnson (R‑WI); introduced Sept. 15, 2025; read twice and placed on the Senate calendar Sept. 16 (Cal. No. 161). [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov
  • Status: Cloture motion filed on the motion to proceed Sept. 19; leadership signaled a cloture vote target for Sept. 29. [2]Congress.gov — Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on moti…
  • Cosponsors: 0 (as of Oct. 1, 2025). [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov
  • House companion: Rep. Dusty Johnson (R‑SD) introduced a companion on Sept. 23, 2025. [6]Office of Rep. Dusty Johnson — Johnson & Johnson Introduce Bill to Eliminate Go…
  • Power map: Republicans control both chambers; John Thune is Senate Majority Leader; Mike Johnson is Speaker. [7]Reuters — Trump's Republicans win control of US Senate, make gains in House[8]The Guardian — Senate Republicans elect John Thune as next majority leader[9]AP News — 119th Congress Latest: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker
  • Context: FY2026 began Oct. 1 amid a shutdown threat; Senate floor time is dominated by short‑term funding. [5]The Guardian — First closure of US government since 2018 begins after funding b…
02 · Section

Procedural Viability Check (Rubric) — S. 2806

Assessment grounded in current chamber control, Senate procedure, and appropriations politics.

Factor Assessment Rationale
Chamber of Origin Medium Originates in the Senate and is already on the calendar via Rule XIV, but has zero bipartisan buy‑in to date. [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov
Vehicle Type Low Stand‑alone authorizing/process bill; not a must‑pass reauth or appropriations. Not well‑suited to reconciliation under the Byrd Rule. [10]Congressional Research Service — CRS: The Senate’s Byrd Rule: Frequently Asked…
Senate Threshold Low Will require 60 votes to invoke cloture; GOP majority (~53) still needs 7+ Democrats/Independents, which is unlikely for an automatic CR. [3]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Filibusters and Cloture in the Senate (RL…[7]Reuters — Trump's Republicans win control of US Senate, make gains in House
Committee Path Low‑Medium Bypassed committee (placed directly on calendar), but Senate Appropriations leadership historically resists long CR/“autopilot” constructs. [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov[4]Office of Sen. Susan Collins — Sen. Collins statement (2016): CRs put governmen…
Must‑Pass Potential Low Attaching to a CR/NDAA would face a filibuster and appropriators’ resistance; no natural vehicle without consuming scarce floor time. [11]Office of Sen. Susan Collins — Sen. Collins floor remarks: reject year‑long CR;…
Budget Scorekeeping Medium‑High Bill text classifies budget effects for scorekeeping; no CBO score posted yet; likely minimal deficit impact. [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov
Calendar Math Low‑Medium Cloture timing intersected with end‑of‑year funding crunch; floor dominated by shutdown management, crowding out a stand‑alone process bill. [2]Congress.gov — Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on moti…[12]U.S. Senate PPG — Senate Periodical Press Gallery — Floor schedule noting expec…[5]The Guardian — First closure of US government since 2018 begins after funding b…
03 · Section

Power dynamics and likely path

  • Senate leadership leverage: The Majority Leader filed cloture on the motion to proceed, signaling floor pressure, but absent cross‑party commitments this functions as a message vote. [2]Congress.gov — Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on moti…
  • Appropriations posture: Chair Susan Collins and Vice Chair Patty Murray focus on regular order and have warned against extended CRs/“autopilot” budgeting; they are unlikely to bless embedding an automatic CR regime into a must‑pass. [13]Senate Appropriations Committee — Senate Appropriations: Subcommittee leadershi…[11]Office of Sen. Susan Collins — Sen. Collins floor remarks: reject year‑long CR;…[4]Office of Sen. Susan Collins — Sen. Collins statement (2016): CRs put governmen…
  • House dynamics: The Speaker could move a companion quickly, but Senate cloture remains the chokepoint. House intro by Rep. Dusty Johnson provides a talking point, not a guaranteed vehicle. [9]AP News — 119th Congress Latest: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker[6]Office of Rep. Dusty Johnson — Johnson & Johnson Introduce Bill to Eliminate Go…
  • Minority leverage: With the 60‑vote Senate threshold intact, Democrats can block unless they secure policy concessions unlikely to be paired with an automatic CR. [3]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Filibusters and Cloture in the Senate (RL…
04 · Section

Composite score and key numbers

Key numbers sourced to official records below.

Composite viability (0–5)
2
Senate GOP seats (approx.)
53seats
Votes needed to end debate
60votes
Senate status
1cloture motion filed on motion to proceed
Cosponsors
0senators
House companion
1introduced

Sources: bill status and calendar placement; cloture filing and scheduling; Senate control and leadership; Speaker reelection; shutdown context. [1]Library of Congress — S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov[2]Congress.gov — Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on moti…[7]Reuters — Trump's Republicans win control of US Senate, make gains in House[8]The Guardian — Senate Republicans elect John Thune as next majority leader[9]AP News — 119th Congress Latest: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker[5]The Guardian — First closure of US government since 2018 begins after funding b…

05 · Section

Bottom line

  • Absent an abrupt bipartisan deal to enshrine automatic CRs, S. 2806 is unlikely to clear cloture this work period. [3]Congressional Research Service — CRS: Filibusters and Cloture in the Senate (RL…
  • Most plausible short‑term use is leverage in the shutdown narrative, not enactment; watch for it to be referenced in floor speeches and messaging as leaders negotiate conventional CRs. [2]Congress.gov — Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on moti…
Sources cited
  1. [1] S.2806 - Eliminate Shutdowns Act (Text) | Congress.gov Library of Congress
  2. [2] Congressional Record (Sept. 19, 2025): Notice of cloture on motion to proceed to S.2806 Congress.gov
  3. [3] CRS: Filibusters and Cloture in the Senate (RL30360) Congressional Research Service
  4. [4] Sen. Collins statement (2016): CRs put government on autopilot Office of Sen. Susan Collins
  5. [5] First closure of US government since 2018 begins after funding bill fails - live blog The Guardian
  6. [6] Johnson & Johnson Introduce Bill to Eliminate Government Shutdowns Office of Rep. Dusty Johnson
  7. [7] Trump's Republicans win control of US Senate, make gains in House Reuters
  8. [8] Senate Republicans elect John Thune as next majority leader The Guardian
  9. [9] 119th Congress Latest: Mike Johnson narrowly reelected House speaker AP News
  10. [10] CRS: The Senate’s Byrd Rule: Frequently Asked Questions (R48640) Congressional Research Service
  11. [11] Sen. Collins floor remarks: reject year‑long CR; fund the government Office of Sen. Susan Collins
  12. [12] Senate Periodical Press Gallery — Floor schedule noting expected cloture on S.2806 U.S. Senate PPG
  13. [13] Senate Appropriations: Subcommittee leadership rosters for the 119th Congress Senate Appropriations Committee

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