119-HR-3187 DC Insider Procedural Viability Check
H.R. 3187 cleared the House 388–0 on December 15 and has a friendly path in a GOP‑run Senate with a same‑topic Senate companion already on the calendar. Expect hotline/UC clearance or quick voice passage; if a hold pops, it can ride a small lands/Ag package early next session. Composite score: 4/5. [1]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119…[2]senate.gov — U.S. Senate: Party Division — 119th Congress[3]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — S.3095 (119th): Senate companion to convey…
Procedural Viability Check — 119-HR-3187
Local Forest Service conveyance to Perry County, AR. House moved it under suspension on December 15; 388–0 suggests no ideological baggage. Senate control and committee alignment are favorable. [1]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119…[2]senate.gov — U.S. Senate: Party Division — 119th Congress
- Chamber of Origin — High: Originated in the House but passed 388–0 under suspension; a Senate companion (Boozman) is already placed on the Senate calendar, reducing friction. [1]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119…[3]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — S.3095 (119th): Senate companion to convey…
- Vehicle Type — Medium-High: Stand‑alone local conveyance. Doesn’t need a must‑pass vehicle, but could be cleared en bloc at wrap‑up if needed. (Standard Senate practice; no special rule required.)
- Senate Threshold — High: Not a reconciliation bill, but non‑controversial local bills typically clear by unanimous consent/voice vote. With Republicans holding 53 seats, leadership has ample floor control if a roll‑call is needed. [2]senate.gov — U.S. Senate: Party Division — 119th Congress
- Committee Path — High: Senate Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry controls forestry/USDA matters; the chair is home‑state Sen. John Boozman, who is also the Senate sponsor. The bill is already on the Legislative Calendar. [4]U.S. Senate Committee (official) — Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition,…[3]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — S.3095 (119th): Senate companion to convey…
- Must‑Pass Potential — Medium: Doesn’t require a vehicle, but if a hold emerges it can hitch to a small lands/Ag package or a clearance bundle during wrap‑up.
- Budget Scorekeeping — High: Text makes the conveyance without consideration and requires the county to pay all transaction/environmental costs; CBO issues are minimal to none. [5]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — Text of H.R. 3187 (Reported in House) — ke…
- Calendar Math — Medium‑High: After House passage on December 15, the Senate has limited year‑end days but can hotline and clear by UC quickly; otherwise, early January clearance is straightforward. [1]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119…
- Composite Score (0–5)
- 4
- Bottom Line
- Likely to pass the Senate by UC/voice with minimal floor time; quickest path is to take up the House‑passed bill rather than run the Senate vehicle to avoid ping‑pong. [1]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119…[3]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — S.3095 (119th): Senate companion to convey…
- Immediate ask: Request the Majority Leader’s floor staff to hotline H.R. 3187; if no holds, clear by UC this week. [1]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119…
- If any hold: fall back to clearing S.3095 and then have the House accept the Senate bill by UC when next in. [3]Congress.gov / Library of Congress — S.3095 (119th): Senate companion to convey…
- Whip cover: Home‑state delegation is unified; keep Boozman (chair) and Cotton in the loop to resolve any member‑specific concerns fast. [4]U.S. Senate Committee (official) — Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition,…
- [1] House Roll Call Vote 336 (H.R. 3187) — 119th Congress, 1st Session Congress.gov / Library of Congress
- [2] U.S. Senate: Party Division — 119th Congress senate.gov
- [3] S.3095 (119th): Senate companion to convey Forest Service parcel to Perry County, AR — placed on calendar Congress.gov / Library of Congress
- [4] Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry — Chairman John Boozman U.S. Senate Committee (official)
- [5] Text of H.R. 3187 (Reported in House) — key terms of the conveyance Congress.gov / Library of Congress
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